Terrorism Watch Second Quarter 2026

The second quarter of Terrorism Watch 2026 explores the most recent events and developments pertaining to terror-related incidents in Southeast Asia and significant incidents worldwide from April to June 2026.

At the global level, countries such as Pakistan, Nigeria, Somalia, and Syria continue to face persistent terrorism threats due to internal instability and weaknesses in their domestic security structures. In Syria, the ongoing internal conflict, particularly the withdrawal of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), has the potential to further exacerbate security threats not only within the country but also at the global level. In addition, an increase in terrorism-related incidents involving lone wolf actor has been observed since the outbreak of the conflict between the United States and Iran in early March 2026. This conflict has motivated certain individuals and groups to demonstrate support for parties aligned with their ideological beliefs, thereby increasing the risk of self-radicalised and independently conducted terrorist attacks that are difficult to detect during the early stages.

With regard to the current landscape of extremism, radicalism, and terrorism in Southeast Asia, reports indicate that the security threat remains relevant and persistent. In Indonesia, reports of two separate arrests involving individuals linked to the dissemination of extremist ideology demonstrate that the terrorism threat continues to exist despite the dismantling of several militant networks. This situation suggests that unrestricted access to the internet has contributed to the emergence of self-radicalisation, driven by uncontrolled exposure to extremist content through social media, particularly WhatsApp platform. Meanwhile, in the Philippines, terrorist activities remain concentrated in specific areas such as Maguindanao del Sur and Tacloban in the Eastern Visayas region, where they are orchestrated by the Dawlah Islamiyah (DI) terrorist group. Nevertheless, the Philippine security forces have demonstrated effective operational, tactical, and intelligence capabilities by successfully dismantling a weapons manufacturing facility operated by the Dawlah Islamiyah–Maute Group (DI-MG). These developments indicate that although the terrorism threat persists, the overall threat level in the Philippines appears to be declining as a result of sustained pressure and proactive counter-terrorism operations conducted by the country’s security forces.  

The use of these social media platforms reflects the evolution of extremist groups’ tactics in targeting the younger generation in a more focused, covert, and difficult-to-detect way. Such progress necessitates a holistic and unified strategy that encompasses every tier of society, including family institutions, educational institutions, and security agencies. It is vital for parents to monitoring their children’s online activities and fostering critical thinking is crucial in preventing the spread of extremist ideologies from taking root from an early stage.

INTRODUCTION

In numerous countries, the second quarter of 2026 has been marked by notable events, as terrorist and militant organisations continue their operations in conflict zones to enhance and reinforce their power.

The following are the highlights of recent terrorism-related occurrences around the world:

a.  Iran.

(1) On 8 June 26, Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence successfully dismantled four terrorist cells and apprehended around 19 members in several locations, including Sistan and Baluchistan, Yazd, and Semnan. The operation also led to the fatalities of one security officer and five terrorists. A large cache of firearms and explosive materials was also discovered and seized during the operation.

(2) The operation conducted by Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence, which successfully dismantled four terrorist cells, demonstrates the effectiveness of intelligence operations in detecting and disrupting terrorist networks before they are able to carry out attacks. The arrest of approximately 19 suspects, the killing of five terrorists, and the confiscation of a large cache of firearms and explosive materials are expected to significantly undermine the group’s operational capabilities. The operation reflects the Iranian authorities’ continued commitment to strengthening national security and actively addressing terrorism threats.

b. Turkiye.

(1) On 7 Apr 26, three-armed men opened fire on Turkish security forces outside the Israeli Consulate in Istanbul. Turkish security personnel killed one of the assailants and apprehended the other two. The attack also injured two security personnel. The deceased attacker was identified as Yunus E.S., while the two suspects arrested were identified as Onur C. and Enes C. According to a statement by the Turkish Ministry of Interior, Yunus was reportedly linked to a terrorist group that exploits religion to advance its agenda in Turkiye.

(2) On 13 May 26, Turkish authorities arrested 324 suspects in a nationwide operation targeting the Daesh terrorist group across 47 provinces, including major cities such as Ankara, Istanbul, and Izmir. The operation was conducted in cooperation with the National Intelligence Organisation (MIT). During the operation, the authorities also seized one handgun, four rifles, 122 rounds of ammunition, and financial assets estimated to be worth USD 213,000.

(3) On 17 June 26, the National Intelligence Organisation (MIT) successfully arrested a senior Daesh leader who was attempting to enter Türkiye illegally through a border crossing. The suspect was identified as Ahmet Kazanci @ Abu Ubeyde @ Abu Ibrahim, who was responsible for overseeing the terrorist group’s Turkish-language media operations.

(4) The series of attacks carried out by the Daesh terrorist group may have been intended as a provocation or as a warning to demonstrate that the group remains operational and capable of threatening Turkiye national security. Daesh is also believed to use the local language as part of its propaganda strategy to attract and recruit more individuals by delivering its messaging in a language that is more easily understood by the local. The counter-terrorism operations conducted by the Turkish security forces reflect the government’s strong commitment to disrupting Daesh’s activities and preventing the spread of its extremist ideology within the country  

c. India.

(1) On 12 Apr 26, Indian security forces, in cooperation with the Central Intelligence Agency, conducted an operation that resulted in the arrest of several individuals suspected of having links to the Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) terrorist group. The suspects were believed to be involved in producing fraudulent identities for terrorists, including forged documents such as passports, national identity cards, and Permanent Account Number (PAN) cards.

(2) On 2 May 26, a 32-year-old man was arrested by Indian security forces in Kutch, Gujarat, for allegedly promoting Daesh extremist ideology through social media. The suspect was identified as Fakirmamad Isha Gagda. Investigations revealed that he operated multiple social media accounts under different aliases and disseminated Daesh propaganda and extremist narratives across various platforms, including Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp.

(3) Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) is believed to exploit social media platforms to disseminate its extremist ideology. This is reflected in the use of forged identities, including PAN cards, national identity cards, and passports, to conceal the group’s activities and evade detection by security forces. The arrest of individuals involved in producing fraudulent documents for LeT, together with action taken against those disseminating Daesh propaganda through social media, reflects the proactive approach adopted by the Indian authorities to curb support for terrorist organisations. These measures are expected to reduce the operational capability of terrorist groups by disrupting their ability to recruit members, facilitate movement, and expand their influence across India.   

d. Pakistan.

(1) On 9 May 26, 14 police officers were killed in an ambush targeting a security checkpoint in Bannu, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. Ittehad-ul-Mujahideen Pakistan, a splinter group of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), claimed responsibility for the attack.

(2) On 24 May 26, the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) claimed responsibility for a bombing attack targeting a train in Quetta, Balochistan, Pakistan. The attack killed nearly 24 people and left more than 70 others seriously injured.

(3) On 17 June 26, three members of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) were confirmed killed during an operation conducted by the Counter Terrorism Department (CTD) of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in Mardan, Pakistan. The three suspects were identified as Hayat Khan (also known as Hayatullah), Asim, and Aminullah. During the operation, CTD officers also recovered three rifles, hand grenades, and a quantity of ammunition from the scene.

(4) These three significant incidents demonstrate that the terrorism threat in Pakistan remains at a high level, particularly in the southern regions of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan. The Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) continue to demonstrate the capability to carry out high-impact attacks targeting critical infrastructure and soft targets. This suggests that both groups retain operational capability, established logistical networks, and the capacity to recruit members to sustain their terrorist activities. Accordingly, sustained intelligence operations, offensive counter-terrorism measures, and robust security enforcement by Pakistan’s security forces remain essential to degrading these groups’ capabilities and reducing the risk of further attacks. To mitigate the likelihood of similar incidents, Pakistan should strengthen security cooperation and intelligence-sharing with international partners, particularly neighboring countries and strategic allies. Pakistani security forces are also likely to intensify military and intelligence operations in the country’s northwestern regions and along the Pakistan–Afghanistan border to identify terrorist networks and disrupt their logistical support. 

e. Syria

(1) On 27 Apr 26, Syrian security forces successfully dismantled a terrorist cell that was planning attacks and attempting to disrupt public security in western Hom’s province. The operation resulted in the death of two members of the terrorist group and the seizure of a large quantity of weapons, including anti-tank missile launchers, sniper rifles, RPG launchers, ammunition, and explosives.

(2) On 22 June 26, Syrian authorities successfully arrested a bomb and weapons manufacturing expert affiliated with the Daesh terrorist group in eastern Syria. The individual was identified as Akram Saleh al-Hamad, also known as Abdo Tasni’a. He was also linked to several attacks targeting Syrian security forces.

(3) On 24 June 26, the US Central Command (CENTCOM) successfully eliminated a senior Daesh leader identified as Ali Husayn al-‘Ulaywi through an airstrike in northwestern Syria.

(4) These security operations represent significant developments in the context of counter-terrorism efforts and the security situation in Syria. The dismantling of terrorist cells, arrests, and elimination of key figures have the potential to disrupt attack planning and weaken operational networks, particularly those linked to Daesh in Syria. Although Daesh has lost most of its territorial control, the threat remains persistent through the presence of sleeper cells, sympathisers, and supporters operating covertly. Therefore, continuous efforts to identify and neutralise key Daesh elements must be maintained to prevent the group’s resurgence and reduce threats to regional security. 

f. Mali

(1) On 25 Apr 26, Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), Al-Qaeda-linked terrorist group, claimed responsibility for coordinated attacks targeting several major cities in Bamako, Mali. The attacks also involved the Azawad Liberation Front (ALF) separatist group. The Malian Minister of Defence was also killed in the attack.

(2) The coordinated attacks by JNIM, with the support of the Azawad Liberation Front (ALF) separatist group, demonstrate the increasing operational capabilities of terrorist groups in conducting large-scale and well-planned attacks against strategic targets in Mali. The successful takeover of several major cities and the death of the Malian Defence Minister have significant implications for the country’s security situation and political stability. The cooperation between terrorist organisations and local armed groups has the potential to weaken government control and further increase instability across the Sahel region. Therefore, security forces need to implement more aggressive offensive measures to contain the resurgence and expansion of terrorist groups in the region.

g. Nigeria

(1) On 16 May 26, A joint operation conducted by United States and Nigerian security agencies successfully eliminated a senior Daesh leader in the Lake Chad region. The suspect was identified as Abu Bilal Al-Minuki, also known as Abu Mainok. He was reportedly the second-in-command of Daesh at the global level.

(2) On 3 June 26, Nigerian security forces operating under Operation Hadin Kai successfully killed 50 terrorists, including a senior commander of the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP), in Borno, Nigeria. The senior ISWAP commander was identified as Khalifa Umar, who was believed to have played a significant role as a key decision-maker within the group.

(3) On 22 June 26, A total of 11 farmers were killed in two terrorist attacks in Borno State, northeastern Nigeria. The Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) claimed responsibility for the attacks.

(4) Recent developments in Nigeria demonstrate the continued commitment of Nigerian security forces and their international strategic partners in combating terrorism within the country. These incidents indicate that Nigeria continues to face persistent terrorist threats from groups such as Boko Haram and the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP). The attacks also highlight that militant groups continue to maintain significant operational capabilities despite sustained pressure from Nigerian security forces. The latest successes further demonstrate the effectiveness of Nigeria’s offensive approach in disrupting the organisational structures of militant groups operating in the country. Nigerian security forces are expected to continue applying pressure against terrorist organisations to gradually weaken their influence and operational capabilities.

h. Kenya

(1) On 8 Apr 26, an operation conducted by the Directorate of Criminal Investigation (DCI) successfully dismantled an Al-Shabaab terrorist group supply network in Eastleigh, Nairobi, Kenya. Among the items seized were uniforms suspected of being used for impersonation purposes and other related activities.

(2) On 22 June 26, Kenyan Defence Forces (KDF) successfully thwarted an attempted attack by the Al-Shabaab terrorist group targeting a military camp in Central Mandera County, Kenya. The swift response by security forces forced Al-Shabaab militants to withdraw before they could breach the perimeter of the critical security installation.

(3) Recent developments indicate that the threat posed by the Al-Shabaab terrorist group in Kenya is increasing, with military camps becoming targeted objectives for terrorist attacks. The swift actions taken by Kenyan security forces in thwarting the attempted attack on a military camp in Central Mandera have disrupted the group’s logistical support activities while demonstrating the high level of preparedness among security forces. Overall, these efforts are expected to restrict Al-Shabaab’s freedom of movement and reduce its operational capabilities in Kenya, particularly in areas near the Somalia border.

i. Somalia

(1) On 6 Apr 26, Somali security forces conducted an airstrike targeting the Al-Shabaab terrorist group in Baidoa, Somalia. The strike successfully killed 12 terrorist while several others were injured.

(2) On 20 Apr 26, Somali security forces neutralised one terrorist and injured two others during Operation Waabari, which targeted Al-Shabaab’s extortion activities in the Lower Shabelle region. The deceased terrorist was identified as Zakariye, while the two individuals were identified as Xasan Cabdiraxmaan and Geele. Operation Waabari was a joint operation involving security forces and officers from the Criminal Investigation Department (CID).

(3) On 6 May 26, Somali National Army (SNA) conducted a security operation targeting the Al-Shabaab group in Mudug Region. The operation successfully killed 13 Al-Shabaab members and injured two others. The operation was part of three concurrent counter-terrorism operations aimed to disrupt the activities of the terrorist group across the region.

(4) The success of the Somali Intelligence Agency in dismantling Al-Shabaab terrorist networks demonstrates the capability and effectiveness of Somalia’s intelligence and security apparatus. Based on these three incidents, it shows that Somali security forces continue to intensify offensive operations against the Al-Shabaab group across several key regions, including Baidoa, Lower Shabelle, and Mudug. These continued actions reflect the Somali government’s commitment to degrading terrorists operational capabilities and logistical networks. 

j. Chad

(1) On 5 May 26, Boko Haram launched an attack against a military post on Barka Tolorom Island, Lake Chad. The attack resulted in the deaths of at least 23 personnel, while 26 others were injured.

(2) This attack demonstrates that the group continues to possess the capability to conduct terrorist act against critical security installations, particularly in the Lake Chad region, which remains difficult to control. The high number of casualties reflects the level of planning and operational capability of the group in exploiting geographical challenges and security vulnerabilities in remote areas. The incident also indicates that Boko Haram continues to maintain a strategy of targeting security assets and personnel to weaken government operational capabilities, while simultaneously affecting the morale of security forces and local communities. In addition, the attack is expected to encourage authorities to strengthen security measures in border areas and enhance operational cooperation among member states of the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF). Measures such as intelligence sharing, joint patrols, and coordinated operations are expected to be intensified to restrict Boko Haram’s movements and reduce the risk of further attacks in the Lake Chad region.

k. United States

(1) On 9 June 26, Manhattan Federal Court, US, sentenced a former Taliban commander to 42 years in prison for charges related to kidnapping and involvement in terrorist activities. Haji Najibullah pleaded guilty to supporting the Taliban terrorist group in its efforts to kill US authorities and kidnapping of a journalist identified as David Rohde.

(2) In the context of ongoing conflicts and rising geopolitical tensions, countries allied with the US are expected to continue facing internal security challenges. These threats do not only emerge in the form of proxy operations but are also compounded by the increasing activities of lone wolf actor who act independently while being influenced by extremist narratives or global geopolitical sentiments. 

l. Georgia

(1) On 21 Apr 26, two individuals were arrested by the Georgian authorities on allegations of involvement with the Daesh terrorist group in Batumi, Georgia. One of the suspects was a Georgian national, while the other was a foreign national. They were alleged to have pledged allegiance to Daesh through a video recording that was sent to the group’s leadership. Georgian security forces seized various items of evidence, including electronic data storage devices, unregistered SIM cards, mobile phones, items bearing Daesh symbols, masks, personal documents, and other evidential materials.

(2) The arrest of two individuals suspected of having links to Daesh indicates that the terrorism threat in Georgia extends beyond the potential for physical attacks and also encompasses radicalisation activities and ideological support. The seizure of various items of evidence, including electronic devices, unregistered SIM cards, and Daesh propaganda materials, reflects the authorities’ efforts to identify and dismantle the group’s support networks at an early stage. This proactive approach is expected to reduce the risk of Daesh expanding its influence while strengthening domestic security through enhanced monitoring and preventive counter-terrorism measures. 

TERRORISM IN SOUTHEAST ASIA

INDONESIA

On 6 May 26, eight terrorist suspects linked to Jamaah Ansharut Daulah (JAD) were arrested by Densus 88 during an operation in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia. Preliminary investigations revealed that all of the suspects were allegedly involved in disseminating extremist propaganda through social media platforms, while also uploading content promoting radicalism and terrorism.

On 11 May 26, Densus 88 successfully arrested a 31-year-old man suspected of being influenced by the ideology of the Daesh in Padang Lawas Regency, North Sumatra, Indonesia. The suspect, identified by the initials MMH, was a member of a WhatsApp group that supported Daesh and was actively involved in disseminating the group’s propaganda across social media platforms.

The arrests of individuals linked to terrorist activities indicate that the terrorism threat in Indonesia remains present despite the dismantling of several militant networks. These operations are significant in preventing the resurgence of small terrorist cells through recruitment, propaganda, and training conducted by extremist groups within the country. The dissemination of radical content through digital platforms demonstrates that these groups continue to exploit social media as a tool for indoctrination and for sustaining their networks. Consequently, deradicalisation efforts and monitoring of online extremist propaganda should be further strengthened, as extremist groups are increasingly operating covertly and using online platforms to spread their ideology and recruit new members. 

THE PHILIPPINES

On 15 Apr 26, Philippine security forces conducted a security operation and successfully raided a firearms manufacturing facility suspected of belonging to the Dawlah Islamiyah–Maute Group (DI-MG) in Marogong, Lanao del Sur. Among the items seized were a milling machine, a welding machine, and other weapons fabrication equipment. Security forces also confiscated 50-calibre barrels, 50-calibre propellant cartridges, three Barrett rifle scopes, and one hand grenade.

On 5 May 26, five members of the Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) peacefully surrendered to Philippine security forces in Maguindanao del Sur. The individuals were identified as Datu Ali Samat, Morad Datu Ali, Guialudin Samsudin Salipada, Tohami Katu Maguid, and Diya Bakang Dagadas. A number of firearms were also surrendered as a symbolic gesture during the surrender ceremony.

On 23 June 26, Philippine Department of Justice (DOJ) began examining the possibility that nihilistic violent extremism (NVE) played a role in a school shooting incident in Tacloban, which resulted in three fatalities and 20 injuries. The investigation also found that one of the suspects was reportedly addicted to the online game GoreBox, which features graphic violence and the use of firearms.

The raid on the weapons manufacturing facility and the arrests carried out by Philippine security forces represent a significant development in efforts to curb the operational capabilities of militant groups such as Dawlah Islamiyah (DI) and the Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) in southern Philippines. The seizure of firearms and critical weapons manufacturing equipment is expected to weaken these groups’ long-term ability to rebuild their operational capacity. The surrender of militant members also indicates that soft approaches, including reintegration programmes, rehabilitation initiatives, and community engagement, introduced by the government have produced positive outcomes. However, online radicalisation through social media platforms and online gaming has emerged as a new and evolving security challenge. Terrorism landscape in the Philippines underscores the need for sustained cooperation among all stakeholders to ensure the country’s long-term stability and security. 

CONCLUSION

Countries in the regions of Southeast Asia, Asia, Africa, the Americas, and Europe continue to face persistent terrorist threats driven by prolonged internal conflicts and weaknesses in domestic security structures. At the same time, extremist sentiments and hate-based ideologies continue to be exploited by terrorist supporters and sympathisers to gain support and expand their influence within communities. The widespread use of digital platforms and social media has further accelerated the dissemination of these narratives, making them increasingly difficult to monitor. Geopolitical tensions between Iran and the United States have also contributed to broader international instability. This environment creates opportunities for terrorist organisations such as Daesh to exploit these tensions, particularly by manipulating economic grievances and perceptions of injustice among affected populations. In this context, the risk of the resurgence of Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs), as well as the increasing threat posed by lone wolf actors, is expected to continue expanding at both the global and regional levels.

The terrorism threat level in Malaysia remains at a moderate level, with the possibility of attack incidents still existing although without any clear or specific indicators. Nevertheless, as a preventive measure, government continues to strengthen cooperation through platforms such as the Counter Terrorism Information Facility (CTIF) and ASEAN Our Eyes (AOE) to facilitate intelligence coordination and information sharing among security agencies. Through integrated intelligence sharing, the capability to detect and respond to potential terrorist threats at an early stage is significantly enhanced.

Overall, the threat of terrorism at the global and regional levels is expected to persist and continue to pose concerns for countries worldwide. The prevalent adoption of social media in daily life has become a key catalyst for the dissemination of extremist propaganda, increasing the likelihood of lone-wolf actors and making it more difficult for authorities to detect and prevent threats at an early stage. Thus, regional collaboration and intelligence exchange among nations remain crucial to ensure that any form of local threat or activities involving Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) can be identified and addressed in a comprehensive and coordinated manner.

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Terrorism Watch First Quarter 2026

The first quarter of Terrorism Watch 2026 explores the most recent events and developments pertaining to terror-related incidents in Southeast Asia and significant incidents worldwide from January to March 2026.

At the global level, countries such as Pakistan, Somalia, Syria, and Nigeria continue to face persistent terrorist threats due to unresolved internal conflicts. The internal conflict in Syria, which has seen the withdrawal of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) also has the potential to increase security threats globally, particularly as a number of individuals linked to Daesh were reportedly able to escape from Al-Hol Camp. This development creates opportunities for the regrouping and strengthening of the group’s network, while also increasing the risk of renewed recruitment and mobilisation of extremist elements in conflict areas. In addition, an increase in terrorism-related threats involving lone wolf actors has also been identified since the outbreak of the conflict between the United States and Iran in early March 2026. This conflict has encouraged certain individuals or groups to express support for parties aligned with their respective ideologies, thereby increasing the risk of lone wolf actor that are difficult to detect at an early stage.

At the regional level, the threat of terrorism in Southeast Asia remains a serious concern. In Indonesia, reports concerning two primary school children exposed to violent extremist ideology indicate that the phenomenon of radicalisation is increasingly spreading among the youths. This situation illustrates how unrestricted access to the internet and online games has contributed to the emergence of self-radicalisation processes occurring quietly, driven by uncontrolled exposure to extremist content through social media. Meanwhile, in the Philippines, terrorist acts are still assessed to be concentrated in certain areas such as Maguindanao del Sur and Lanao del Norte, orchestrated by the terrorist group, Dawlah Islamiyah (DI). Despite this, the Philippine security forces have showcased the efficiency of their operational, tactical, and intelligence capabilities by neutralising a high-ranking leader of the group in a targeted security operation. This progress indicates that while the threat of terrorism still exists, the threat level in the Philippines seems to be slowly diminishing due to ongoing efforts and proactive actions taken by the security forces.  

In Malaysia, the national threat level remains at a moderate stage, indicating the possibility of an attack but with no specific or confirmed threat identified. Although the risk of physical attacks remains low, the spread of online radicalisation and the dissemination of extremist narratives in public spaces continue to be key areas of concern. Similar to the situation in Indonesia, the detention of six teenagers last march indicates a shift in the pattern of terrorism threats in Malaysia focusing on digital radicalisation involving youths. This case demonstrates that teenagers, including children, are increasingly being exposed to extremist propaganda through online communication and gaming platforms such as Discord and Roblox. The use of these platforms reflects the evolution of extremist groups’ tactics in targeting the younger generation in a more focused, covert, and difficult-to-detect way. This development calls for a more comprehensive and integrated approach involving all levels of institutions, including family institutions, educational institutions, and security agencies. The role of parents in monitoring their children’s online activities and fostering critical thinking is crucial in preventing the spread of extremist ideologies from taking root from an early stage.

INTRODUCTION

Throughout various countries, the first quarter of 2026 has been characterised by significant developments, with terrorist and militant groups sustaining their activities in conflict areas to consolidate and strengthen their influence.

The following are the highlights of recent terrorism-related occurrences around the world:

a.  Pakistan.

(1) On 6 Feb 26, a suicide bombing took place at Khadija al-Kubra Mosque in Islamabad during Friday prayers. The incident resulted in the deaths of 32 worshippers and left 162 others injured. Pakistan’s Minister of Home Affairs and Minister of Defence blamed India and Afghanistan of involvement in the attack. However, both governments dismissed the accusations and denied any participation. Follow-up actions by the Pakistani security forces successfully led to the arrest of four individuals suspected of coordinating the attack. A terrorist group linked to Daesh claimed responsibility for the attack.

(2) On 17 Feb 26, a total of 11 members of the Pakistani security forces and one child lost their lives, while 25 others sustained injuries in multiple suicide bombing incidents in Bajaur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. The attack was believed to have been orchestrated by the terrorist group Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). The group reportedly rammed a vehicle laden with explosives into a military checkpoint located at the border entry.

(3) The bombing incident highlights the continuing threat posed by the terrorist group Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and the persistent Daesh factions still active in the country. The objectives of these terrorist organisations encompass prominent regions like the capital city of Pakistan and various chosen hotspots. The event highlights the resurgence of TTP activities, as the organisation seems to grow bolder in executing assaults on major urban and strategic areas, thereby raising the potential for large-scale attacks in the future. The accusations regarding the participation of the two countries constitute a sensitive issue that Pakistan should avoid. Those accusations might potentially lead to prolonged tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan, which may undermine regional stability, particularly within the context of South Asian security. To curb the possibility of further similar attacks, Pakistani security forces are anticipated to strengthen security cooperation and intelligence exchange with international partners, particularly neighboring countries and strategic allies. Pakistani security forces are also likely to intensify military and intelligence operations in the northwestern regions of the country, as well as along the Pakistan–Afghanistan border, in order to track terrorist networks and disrupt their logistical support channels. 

b. Somalia.

(1) On 24 Feb 26, Somalia’s intelligence agency, alongside the security forces, conducted four coordinated operations that effectively neutralised 23 members of the terrorist group Al-Shabaab. The operations were conducted in the regions near Shabelle and Hiiraan. Based on an official statement from the intelligence agency, the offensive operations were launched based on intelligence information confirming that elements of the group were preparing to carry out attacks on several towns in the surrounding areas. The implementation of these operations is believed to have foiled the group’s attack plans and weakened its operational capabilities within the affected sectors.

(2) On 6 Feb 26, National Intelligence and Security Agency (NISA) conducted a major operation in Bu’aale, Middle Juba Region, recognized as a stronghold of Al-Shabaab. The operation targeted the group’s administrative and political headquarters, as well as its sophisticated media and propaganda centers, including facilities used for Radio Al-Andalus broadcasts and the Al-Kataib media unit. The goal was to dismantle the group’s unofficial administrative framework and hinder its capacity to spread radical media content. Based on intelligence reports, NISA effectively eliminated broadcasting equipment, advanced cameras, and data servers employed for the group’s propaganda activities. The operation also neutralised multiple terrorist elements, while dismantling vital assets that support Al-Shabaab’s logistics and media operations in Bu’aale.

(3) The effectiveness of Somalia’s intelligence agency in breaking up Al-Shabaab’s activities illustrates the increasing proficiency and effectiveness of Somali security force intelligence operations. The successful neutralisation of militant elements on the ground, along with the dismantling of administrative and propaganda infrastructure in Bu’aale, has both diminished the group’s operational abilities and disrupted its command structure, communications, and ideological dissemination network. The discovery of sophisticated propaganda equipment indicates that the organisation prioritises social media as a as a medium for disseminating information to potential supporters, thus boosting its ability to recruit new members. In this regard, Somali security forces must ensure the continuity of operational pressure and intelligence enhancement to ensure that these tactical successes can be translated into long-term strategic outcomes.  

c. Syria.

(1) On 27 Jan 26, tensions and violence broke out against the Syrian security forces at Al-Hol Camp, leading to a large-scale escape involving detainees. Multiple detainees allegedly assaulted the security personnel, causing chaos within the camp area. Due to the incident, several detainees were believed to have successfully escaped before the security forces managed to regain control of the situation.

(2) On 21 Feb 26, Daesh claimed responsibility for several armed attacks in the Raqqa and Deir ez-Zor regions in eastern Syria. The attacks included shootings involving pistols and automatic weapons targeting members of the Syrian government forces as well as civilians in areas such as Al-Mayadin and the rural outskirts of Raqqa, resulting in the deaths of at least one soldier and one civilian, while several others were injured.

(3) This extensive escape event reveals vulnerabilities in security measures following the takeover of the camp by Syrian government troops from the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). The aggression aimed at the Syrian security forces was probably a response from detainees who had been confined in the camp for a long time. They subsequently exploited the administrative tensions to escape. The incident poses an ongoing security threat to the nearby regions, as the escaped prisoners consist of individuals previously associated with Daesh or Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs). The risk of extremist ideology spreading and the re-recruitment of escaped detainees is extremely high. If recidivism were to rise, it could bolster militant personnel resources and consequently endanger the security of surrounding areas. Daesh announced that the attacks were part of a new operational phase targeting the Syrian leadership and aimed to show that Daesh cell networks continue to be active and able to execute armed attacks. This occurrence highlights the revival of Daesh militant actions in eastern Syria, particularly in desert areas and remote towns, affecting the local security environment and compelling Syrian security forces and their allies to intensify security operations to curb the group’s re-emergence.   

d. Nigeria.

(1) On 1 Mar 25, the terrorist group Boko Haram launched an attack on a military base at the Banki junction in Borno, Nigeria. The attack, which occurred at around 0400 hours, resulted in the death of a military officer holding the rank of Major, along with several other security personnel.

(2) On 19 Jan 26, Boko Haram group attacked a Nigerian military in Borno State, killing at least eight soldiers and injuring around 50 others in the Timbuktu Triangle area. The military reported that they had earlier eliminated multiple militant bases in the region and thwarted a planned assault involving a Vehicle-Borne Improvised Explosive Device (VBIED), which included the demolition of a vehicle filled with explosives. Nonetheless, a second VBIED succeeded in penetrating defensive lines, resulting in the deaths of several soldiers and members of the Civilian Joint Task Force (CJTF).

(3) Based on both incidents, the attacks carried out by Boko Haram demonstrate that the group still maintains significant operational capability despite sustained pressure from Nigerian security forces. The attack patterns employed, including the use of Vehicle-Borne Improvised Explosive Devices (VBIED) and assaults on military bases during early morning hours, reflect a level of structured tactical planning and the ability to penetrate security defences. The success of certain militant groups in overcoming perimeter security despite early preventive actions reveals gaps in defensive layers and emphasises the necessity to improve preparedness and early warning systems. A more integrated operational approach involving strengthened intelligence capabilities, improved base defence systems, and rapid response capacity is critical to curbing the group’s freedom of movement and sustained attack capability.

e. United States

(1) On 1 Mar 26, a man identified as Ndiaga Diagne, aged 53, opened fire indiscriminately at a bar in Texas, resulting in the deaths of two civilians and injuries to 14 others. Preliminary investigations by local authorities found that the suspect possessed images related to Iranian leadership and was reportedly wearing clothing featuring the Iranian flag during the incident.

(2) On 12 Mar 26, a former terrorism convict carried out a random shooting targeting military personnel member. The incident, which occurred at Constant Hall, resulted in the death of a senior military officer, while two other personnel were seriously injured. The attack began at approximately 10:43 a.m. inside a lecture hall being used for a Military Science programme. The suspect, identified as Mohamed Bailor Jalloh, aged 36, was reportedly heard shouting “Allahu Akbar” shortly before opening fire on individuals inside the room. Nevertheless, a group of students from the Reserve Officers’ Training Corps (ROTC) program who were at the location effectively halted the suspect’s actions. The students physically overpowered the suspect, who was pronounced dead at the scene before police arrived. The suspect was a United States citizen of Sierra Leonean origin residing in Sterling.

(3) Amid ongoing conflicts and rising geopolitical tensions, nations allied with the United States are likely to keep encountering internal security issues. These threats are not only manifested through proxy operations but are also reinforced by the increase in lone wolf activities carried out by individuals acting independently while being influenced by extremist narratives or global geopolitical sentiments.

f. United Kingdom

(1) On 24 Mar 26, four ambulances belonging to a Jewish voluntary emergency service in north London were deliberately set on fire in an incident being investigated as an anti-Semitic hate crime. The event took place in the Golders Green region and involved flammable substances, leading to explosions from oxygen tanks and damage to nearby houses but no injuries were reported. Law enforcement agencies, including anti-terrorism are presently carrying out investigations and tracking down several suspects identified via CCTV footage.

(2) Although the incident is being investigated as a hate-motivated act driven by anti-Semitic sentiment, the attack has also been linked to the conflict between the United States and Iran. There were also claims of responsibility by a group allegedly associated with Iran, although this has yet to be verified. These three attack events demonstrate that extremist ideologies no longer require direct instructions from terrorist organisations to trigger acts of violence. These circumstances also illustrate that global conflicts can impact on the domestic security of nearby nations. The spread of propaganda through social media and cyberspace enables radicalisation processes to occur rapidly and covertly, thereby producing perpetrators who are difficult for authorities to detect. Additionally, the growing tendency towards high-impact yet low-cost attacks, such as the use of firearms or improvised explosive devices, further increases the level of threat to public security.

TERRORISM IN SOUTHEAST ASIA

INDONESIA

On 5 Jan 26, two primary school students were reportedly exposed to elements of radicalism through the online game Roblox in Sampit, Kotawaringin Timur Regency, Indonesia. The students were subsequently added to a WhatsApp group believed to operate as a platform for spreading propaganda as well as recruiting new members.

The exposure of two primary school students in Indonesia to radical ideology serves as  a significant reminder of the evolving pattern of terrorism threats in the digital era. Clearly, this incident is not merely an isolated issue involving individuals; rather, it reflects a systemic phenomenon in which extremist ideologies are increasingly exploiting children through seemingly harmless platforms such as online games and digital communication channels. In this case, the radicalisation process appeared to begin through social interactions within online video games before the children were added to closed communication groups such as WhatsApp, where violent content and extremist ideologies were gradually disseminated. This pattern aligns with the worldwide trend of digital radicalisation, whereby cyberspace is used as preliminary filtering method before deeper indoctrination processes are carried out in closed and difficult-to-detect environments.

THE PHILIPPINES

On 8 Mar 26, Philippine security forces carried out an operation that successfully eliminated a senior leader of the terrorist group Dawlah Islamiyah–Hassan Group (DI-HG), identified as Emarudin Kulaw, in the town of Banisilan, North Cotabato, Philippines. Law enforcement also confiscated multiple firearms at the location. Besides being a prominent leader, Alpha King was recognised as one of the experts in creating Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) for the DI-HG group.

The death of a key figure within the Dawlah Islamiyah–Hassan Group (DI-HG) marks a significant development in the security landscape of Southern Philippines, with the clear potential to weaken the group’s organisational structure, disrupt its communication network, and hinder the planning of future terrorist attacks. The loss of this senior figure is expected to incite internal rifts and power conflicts among group members. If such situations occur, it will indirectly provide an advantage to the Philippine security forces in conducting follow-up operations to dismantle the remaining active militant cells.

However, from a counterterrorism standpoint, tactical successes by the security forces do not necessarily eliminate the threat entirely. Philippine security forces are expected to continue intensifying security operations against the remnants of terrorist groups that have long established a presence in the country, in order to ensure that public safety and societal stability remain protected.

MALAYSIA

On 14 Feb 26, the Royal Malaysia Police apprehended six individuals, including three minors, suspected of plotting attacks against police stations and government facilities. All male individuals aged between 16 and 21 years old were detained in the Klang Valley, Johor, Kedah, and Terengganu on 14 and 15 February under suspicion of being involved in supporting the terrorist organisation Daesh, which includes disseminating radical ideologies, recruiting new members, and promoting propaganda materials online. The detentions were carried out in accordance with procedures under the Security Offences (Special Measures) Act 2012 (SOSMA). All suspects are being investigated under Chapter 6A of the Penal Code relating to terrorism offences and may face multiple charges, including Section 130J for promoting terrorist groups as well as becoming or claiming to be members of terrorist organisations, and Section 130JB for possessing, preparing, displaying, or distributing materials related to terrorist groups. 

CONCLUSION

At the global level, countries such as Pakistan, Somalia, Syria, and Nigeria still encounter terrorist due to ongoing internal unrest. At the same time, extremist sentiments and hate-based ideologies continue to be exploited by supporters and sympathisers of terrorist groups to garner public backing and expand their influence within society. The use of digital platforms and social media has accelerated the widespread dissemination of such narratives, making them increasingly difficult to control. The geopolitical conflict between Iran and the United States has also contributed to instability among various parties at the international level. Variations in ideology and beliefs have prompted specific individuals and groups to express support for parties aligned with their respective interests, thereby creating polarisation within communities. This situation indirectly provides opportunities for groups such as Daesh to exploit such tensions, particularly by manipulating economic pressures and feelings of injustice among affected individuals. In this context, the risk of the resurgence of Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs), as well as the increasing threat posed by lone wolf actors, is expected to continue expanding at both the global and regional levels.

The terrorism threat level in Malaysia remains at a moderate level, with the possibility of attack incidents still existing although without any clear or specific indicators. Nevertheless, there are ongoing concerns regarding the involvement of certain individuals within society in promoting particular ideologies through social media platforms. Although the risk of physical threats is currently assessed to be low, the development of online radicalisation and the spread of extremist ideologies in public spaces require close monitoring and continuous preventive measures to ensure that the country’s security and stability remain safeguarded.

Overall, the threat of terrorism at the global and regional levels is expected to persist and continue to pose concerns for countries worldwide. The extensive use of social media in daily life has become a key enabler of extremist propaganda dissemination, increasing the likelihood of lone-wolf actors and making it more difficult for authorities to detect and prevent threats at an early stage. In this regard, enhanced regional cooperation and intelligence sharing among nations remain crucial to ensure that any form of local threat or movement involving Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) can be identified and addressed in a comprehensive and coordinated manner.

Add Your Heading Text Here

IMPLIKASI EKOSISTEM E-GAMING TERHADAP ANGGOTA ANGKATAN TENTERA MALAYSIA (ATM) DARI PERSPEKTIF ANCAMAN RADIKALISME, EKSTREMISME DAN KEGANASAN

PENDAHULUAN

E-gaming  merujuk kepada permainan elektronik yang dimainkan melalui komputer, konsol atau peranti mudah alih, sama ada secara individu atau bersama pemain lain melalui internet. Dalam persekitaran semasa, permainan seperti Roblox, Minecraft, Fortnite, Player Unknown’s Battlegrounds (PUBG), Call of Duty, Counter-Strike dan GoreBox bukan sekadar menyediakan aktiviti permainan. Sesetengah permainan dalam talian ini membolehkan pengguna mencipta dunia maya, mengubah suai kandungan, membentuk kumpulan, berkomunikasi melalui teks atau suara serta memindahkan interaksi ke platform encypted messaging apps seperti Telegram, WhatsApp dan Discord. Roblox dan Minecraft mempunyai ciri yang perlu diberikan perhatian khusus. Kedua-duanya menyediakan ruang terbuka yang membolehkan pengguna membina dunia, watak, organisasi dan jalan cerita mereka sendiri. Ciri ini mempunyai nilai kreatif dan pendidikan, tetapi turut boleh disalahgunakan untuk membina semula kawasan konflik, menghasilkan simbol ekstremis, menjalankan lakonan peranan sebagai anggota organisasi pengganas atau menggambarkan keganasan sebenar dalam bentuk permainan. Hasil kajian Global Network on Extremism and Technology (GNET) dari King’s College London mendapati bahawa ruang reka bentuk terbuka seperti Roblox dan Minecraft membolehkan pengguna membina pengalaman berunsur ideologi dari peringkat awal, termasuk penghasilan semula serangan keganasan atau gambaran sebuah pemerintahan ekstremis.

Ancaman ini perlu difahami sebagai sebahagian daripada ekosistem e-gaming, bukan melalui permainan tertentu sahaja. Proses pengaruh mungkin bermula melalui pertemuan biasa dalam permainan sebelum pemain dijemput menyertai kumpulan Telegram, WhatsApp atau Discord. Platform komunikasi tersebut kemudiannya boleh digunakan untuk perkongsian propaganda, pembentukan kumpulan tertutup, perbincangan ideologi, perekrutan dan mobilisasi. Normalisasi kandungan keganasan di ruang siber memudahkan pendedahan secara berterusan dalam permainan atas talian. Pembentukan komuniti ekstremis dalam talian dengan penyamaran (ekstremis) menggunakan aplikasi ciri sembang (chat), AI, chatbot dan komuniti (guild) disalahguna untuk merekrut dan menyebar luas ideologi keganasan. Bagi ATM, ancaman ini mempunyai implikasi yang lebih serius berbanding masyarakat awam kerana anggota tentera mempunyai latihan, disiplin, pengetahuan taktikal dan kemungkinan akses kepada senjata, instalasi, sistem komunikasi serta maklumat operasi. Individu ekstremis yang tidak mempunyai akses ketenteraan mungkin hanya memiliki niat, sedangkan anggota yang terpengaruh berpotensi mempunyai gabungan niat, kemampuan, akses dan peluang. Oleh itu, radikalisasi anggota melalui ekosistem e-gaming perlu dinilai sebagai isu keselamatan personel, keselamatan operasi dan ancaman dalaman.

Kajian Kes E-Gaming dan Ancaman Ekstremisme

Kajian Kes 1: Roblox dan Rangkaian Daesh di Malaysia, 2026

Pada Februari 2026, PDRM menahan enam lelaki tempatan berumur antara 16 hingga 21 tahun dalam operasi di Lembah Klang, Johor, Kedah dan Terengganu. Tiga daripada mereka merupakan individu bawah umur. Siasatan awal mendapati kumpulan tersebut didakwa telah melakukan bai’ah kepada kepimpinan Daesh, merekrut ahli baharu dan memiliki bahan propaganda berkaitan organisasi berkenaan. Pihak berkuasa turut mengesan perbincangan berkaitan serangan terhadap balai polis, bangunan kerajaan dan kemudahan awam. Rantaian radikalisasi dikatakan menggunakan Roblox bersama Discord, Telegram dan WhatsApp. Kumpulan tersebut juga mempunyai hubungan dengan kumpulan sembang pro-Daesh di negara jiran yang dilaporkan mempunyai kira-kira 1,000 anggota. Kes ini menunjukkan empat perkara penting. Pertama, permainan atas talian boleh menjadi titik pertemuan awal. Kedua, komunikasi kemudian dipindahkan ke platform tertutup. Ketiga, pemain muda boleh bergerak daripada penggunaan kandungan kepada perekrutan dan perancangan. Keempat, sasaran yang dibincangkan melibatkan institusi keselamatan dan kerajaan. Bagi ATM, kes ini relevan kerana pola serupa boleh digunakan untuk mendekati anggota muda, pelatih, keluarga anggota atau individu yang mempunyai akses kepada kem tentera. Ancaman paling kritikal bukan kandungan Roblox semata-mata, tetapi hubungan antara permainan, propaganda, kumpulan luar negara dan komunikasi terenkripsi.

Kajian Kes 2: Roblox dan GoreBox di Singapura, 2026

Pada Januari 2026, pihak berkuasa Singapura mengumumkan tindakan terhadap seorang remaja berusia 14 tahun yang meradikalisasikan dirinya melalui kandungan Islamic State. Remaja tersebut menggunakan Roblox dan GoreBox untuk menghasilkan semula serangan serta hukuman mati yang dilakukan oleh Islamic State. Beliau turut memainkan peranan sebagai pejuang kumpulan berkenaan dan menghasilkan video pro-ISIS daripada rakaman permainannya. Remaja itu mula terdedah kepada video pertempuran Islamic State ketika berusia 12 tahun. Selepas melakukan carian lanjut, algoritma media sosial membekalkan lebih banyak kandungan berkaitan. Beliau kemudian dilaporkan menghabiskan sehingga sembilan jam sehari menonton kandungan ekstremis, melakukan bai’ah pada Jun 2024 dan menggunakan akaun media sosial untuk menggalakkan sokongan terhadap Islamic State serta keganasan bersenjata. Kes ini menunjukkan bahawa simulasi dalam permainan boleh berfungsi sebagai alat pengukuhan identiti. Tindakan keganasan yang dibayangkan melalui propaganda kemudiannya dihasilkan semula dalam permainan, dirakam dan diedarkan kepada orang lain. Walaupun simulasi bukan latihan operasi sebenar, ia boleh membantu proses menormalisasikan kekerasan dan mengukuhkan gambaran diri sebagai seorang pejuang.

Kajian Kes 3: Roblox melibatkan Remaja Singapura, 2023

Pada tahun 2023, pihak berkuasa Singapura mendedahkan bahawa seorang remaja berusia 16 tahun telah menyertai beberapa pelayan Roblox bertemakan Islamic State. Dunia permainan tersebut menghasilkan semula kawasan konflik di Syria dan Marawi, Filipina. Remaja berkenaan menganggap dirinya sebahagian daripada kumpulan tersebut, melakukan bai’ah kepada pemimpin dalam permainan dan bertindak sebagai jurucakap serta propagandis kumpulan maya berkenaan. Remaja tersebut turut menghasilkan tiga video propaganda menggunakan rakaman Roblox, lagu atau nasyid Islamic State dan imej bendera organisasi itu. Sokongannya dalam permainan, termasuk menembak musuh maya, dikatakan menggambarkan keinginannya untuk menjadi anggota Islamic State dalam kehidupan sebenar. Kes ini memperlihatkan bagaimana proses radikalisasi boleh bergerak melalui tiga peringkat (Pendedahan Ideologi -> Penyertaan Dalam Komuniti Permainan -> Penghasilan Propaganda Sendiri). Individu tersebut bukan lagi penerima pasif, tetapi telah berubah menjadi pengeluar dan penyebar kandungan. Dalam konteks ATM, perubahan daripada pengguna kepada propagandis merupakan petunjuk bahawa proses radikalisasi telah berkembang kepada tahap lebih serius. 

Gambar e-gaming Roblox melibatkan Remaja Singapura pada tahun 2023

Kajian Kes 4: Minecraft sebagai Ruang Pembinaan Naratif Ideologi

Minecraft merupakan permainan dunia terbuka yang membolehkan pemain membina struktur, komuniti dan dunia maya. Fleksibiliti tersebut boleh digunakan secara positif untuk pendidikan dan kreativiti. Namun, ia juga membolehkan pengguna membina simbol ekstremis, lokasi peperangan, kem tahanan atau persekitaran politik tertentu. Analisis GNET meletakkan Minecraft sebagai salah satu ruang yang mempunyai kehadiran ekstremis, walaupun pada tahap lebih rendah berbanding Roblox, Discord atau Steam. Ruang reka bentuk terbuka membolehkan pengguna membina pengalaman ideologi dari peringkat awal tanpa hanya bergantung kepada kandungan asal permainan. Dalam konteks perang Rusia-Ukraine, Minecraft dan Roblox digunakan oleh sesetengah pihak untuk menghasilkan semula pertempuran, menggunakan simbol pro-Kremlin dan menyebarkan naratif yang membenarkan tindakan Rusia serta menyalahkan negara Barat. Kes tersebut lebih hampir kepada operasi pengaruh dan propaganda berbanding perekrutan pengganas secara langsung. Namun, ia menunjukkan bahawa permainan boleh menjadi ruang pembentukan persepsi geopolitik dalam kalangan pemain muda. Setakat sumber terbuka yang dikenal pasti bagi laporan ini, belum terdapat kes di Malaysia direkodkan antara 2020 hingga 2026 yang secara jelas mengaitkan Minecraft dengan tindakan keganasan. Oleh itu, Minecraft lebih tepat digunakan sebagai kajian kes risiko dan eksploitasi platform, bukan bukti bahawa permainan tersebut telah menghasilkan pengganas di Malaysia. 

Kajian Kes 5: Discord, Steam dan Platform berkaitan Permainan 

Discord pada asalnya digunakan untuk komunikasi pemain, tetapi kini menjadi platform komuniti bagi pelbagai minat. Ciri pelayan tertutup, sembang suara, perkongsian fail dan kawalan pentadbir membolehkan komuniti yang rapat dibentuk. Steam pula menggabungkan pengedaran permainan, profil pengguna, forum, kumpulan dan ruangan komen. Penyelidikan Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD), 2024, mengenal pasti komuniti ekstrem kanan dan penyokong kumpulan ganas dalam ekosistem Discord dan Steam. Kajian turut menyimpulkan bahawa platform berkaitan permainan menyediakan infrastruktur organisasi penting bagi perekrutan, pembentukan komuniti dan aktivisme ekstremis. Implikasinya ialah pemantauan yang hanya menumpukan kepada kandungan dalam permainan tidak mencukupi. Seseorang mungkin bermain secara normal dalam Roblox, Minecraft atau Call of Duty, tetapi terlibat dalam perbincangan ekstremis melalui pelayan Discord yang dikendalikan secara berasingan. 

Kajian Kes 6: Simulasi Serangan Daesh Dalam Permainan Video

Seorang pemain online live action role-player mempunyai kecenderungan terhadap ideologi ekstremis dikesan menggunakan platform permainan video sandbox Garry’s Mod (GMod) untuk menghasilkan semula video simulasi pemenggalan kepala seorang warga Jepun, Kenji Goto Jogo, oleh kumpulan Daesh. Selain itu, individu berkenaan turut memuat naik kandungan yang memaparkan idealisasi serangan bersenjata api di Paris, Perancis. Individu terbabit memuat naik satu rakaman video berdurasi 39 saat bertajuk “Paris Raid”. Video berkenaan memaparkan simulasi grafik individu bersenjata yang melakukan serangan ke atas orang awam di kawasan jalan raya, lengkap dengan suntingan seni kaligrafi Arab perkataan “Paris” yang menyerupai reka bentuk grafik rasmi cetakan Daesh. Insiden ini menunjukkan trend pembentukan self-radicalised dalam kalangan generasi muda yang mengeksploitasi platform permainan video digital yang mempunyai elemen sandbox untuk menterjemahkan fantasi keganasan mereka. Penggunaan audio asal daripada arkib propaganda lama Daesh yang digabungkan dengan visual permainan moden membuktikan bahawa bahan propaganda terdahulu masih mempunyai pengaruh yang kuat kepada sympathiser (penyokong) dalam talian. Meskipun bertindak sebagai lone wolf dalam ruang siber melalui aktiviti simulasi, tindakan sedemikian berpotensi mencetuskan ancaman keselamatan yang nyata jika pelaku beralih dari fasa simulasi kepada tindakan fizikal ditambah dengan naratif dan propaganda oleh kumpulan ekstremis. 

Implikasi Ekosistem E-Gaming Terhadap Anggota ATM

Pembentukan Ancaman Dalaman – Anggota ATM yang menerima ideologi ekstrem boleh menggunakan kedudukannya untuk membantu pihak luar. Bantuan tersebut mungkin melibatkan penyampaian maklumat, pengesahan sasaran, pemerhatian terhadap instalasi, penyediaan akses, penyeludupan bahan atau serangan secara langsung. Seorang anggota mungkin tidak menunjukkan perubahan luaran yang ketara, tetapi penglibatan aktif dalam kumpulan permainan tertutup boleh membentuk kesetiaan alternatif yang bertentangan dengan sumpah dan tanggungjawab ketenteraan.

Kebocoran Keselamatan Operasi – Perbualan santai ketika bermain boleh menyebabkan anggota mendedahkan lokasi penugasan, tempoh operasi, struktur unit, rutin kem, kekuatan anggota, jenis aset atau identiti pegawai. Maklumat yang kelihatan kecil boleh digabungkan dengan gambar media sosial, metadata dan sumber terbuka untuk menghasilkan gambaran operasi. Pihak ekstremis atau perisikan asing juga boleh menggunakan permainan sebagai ruang kejuruteraan sosial kerana komunikasi berlaku dalam suasana santai dan tidak formal.

Penyalahgunaan Pengetahuan Ketenteraan – Anggota ATM mempunyai pengetahuan mengenai senjata, medan, kawalan keselamatan dan prosedur operasi. Sekiranya terpengaruh, pengetahuan tersebut boleh digunakan untuk memilih sasaran, mengelakkan pengesanan atau memberikan nasihat kepada individu luar. Permainan peperangan mungkin turut menyediakan bahasa dan minat bersama yang memudahkan perekrut mendekati anggota tanpa menimbulkan syak pada peringkat awal.

Kemerosotan Prestasi Kerja – Naratif ekstremis yang berasaskan agama, kaum, politik atau kebencian terhadap kerajaan boleh menjejaskan kesatuan organisasi. ATM bergantung kepada kepercayaan, disiplin dan kerjasama merentasi latar belakang. Pemikiran takfiri, perkauman melampau atau penolakan terhadap pemerintahan yang sah boleh merosakkan hubungan antara anggota dan menjejaskan keberkesanan organisasi. Penggunaan permainan secara berlebihan boleh menjejaskan tidur, kecergasan, tumpuan dan prestasi kerja. Walaupun isu ini berbeza daripada ekstremisme, keadaan fizikal dan psikologi yang lemah boleh meningkatkan kerentanan terhadap manipulasi serta mengurangkan keupayaan membuat pertimbangan rasional.

Risiko terhadap Instalasi dan Aset – Sejarah pencerobohan Kumpulan Al-Maunah terhadap kem tentera pada tahun 2000 contoh terbaik terhadap risiko instalasi dan aset kem tentera. Dalam konteks ATM, kem, depot senjata, pusat komunikasi, pangkalan udara, jeti, pusat latihan dan kediaman pegawai juga boleh dianggap sebagai sasaran bernilai tinggi. Anggota yang mempunyai pengetahuan dalaman berpotensi membantu pihak luar mengenal pasti kelemahan kawalan keselamatan, waktu pertukaran pengawal atau lokasi penting.

Risiko terhadap Keluarga Anggota – Anak dan ahli keluarga anggota juga boleh terdedah kepada Roblox, Minecraft, Discord dan permainan lain. Perekrut mungkin mengeksploitasi hubungan keluarga untuk mendapatkan maklumat mengenai lokasi bertugas, jadual latihan atau identiti anggota. Oleh itu, keselamatan digital keluarga perlu dianggap sebagai sebahagian daripada keselamatan personel ATM.

Imej dan Kepercayaan Awam – Penglibatan walaupun seorang anggota dalam kumpulan ekstremis boleh merosakkan imej ATM sebagai institusi profesional, berdisiplin dan berkecuali. Insiden sedemikian boleh digunakan sebagai propaganda bagi menggambarkan kelemahan keselamatan atau perpecahan dalam pasukan pertahanan.

Ulasan

Kajian kes menunjukkan bahawa permainan e-gaming tidak bertindak sendirian. Roblox, Minecraft atau GoreBox menyediakan ruang visual dan interaktif, manakala Discord, Telegram dan WhatsApp membolehkan hubungan ideologi diperkukuh. Media sosial membekalkan propaganda, sementara kumpulan tertutup membentuk kesetiaan dan memberikan arahan. Roblox mempunyai risiko yang lebih nyata kerana menggabungkan kandungan ciptaan pengguna, kumpulan, interaksi sosial dan pemain baru. Minecraft pula lebih sesuai digunakan untuk menerangkan risiko pembinaan dunia ideologi, simbol dan propaganda. GoreBox menyediakan ruang simulasi keganasan yang lebih grafik. Permainan peperangan seperti Call of Duty, PUBG dan Counter-Strike pula boleh dieksploitasi melalui komuniti, modifikasi, rakaman permainan dan platform komunikasi yang mengelilinginya.

Namun demikian, hubungan antara permainan dengan keganasan tidak boleh disederhanakan. Berjuta-juta individu bermain permainan peperangan tanpa menjadi ekstremis. Faktor penentu ialah gabungan kerentanan peribadi, ideologi, jaringan sosial, penerimaan terhadap keganasan, kemampuan dan akses. Oleh itu, penggunaan permainan atau minat terhadap senjata tidak boleh dijadikan asas tunggal untuk melabel seseorang anggota sebagai berisiko. ATM juga perlu mengelakkan pendekatan pengawasan menyeluruh yang boleh merosakkan kepercayaan anggota. Tindakan keselamatan hendaklah berdasarkan tingkah laku berisiko seperti menyokong kumpulan pengganas, menghasilkan propaganda, cuba merekrut anggota lain, mendedahkan maklumat operasi, membincangkan sasaran atau menunjukkan niat melakukan keganasan. 

Cadangan

Dasar Keselamatan E-Gaming ATM – ATM perlu membangunkan garis panduan penggunaan e-gaming  dan platform berkaitan permainan. Dasar tersebut perlu meliputi keselamatan identiti, pendedahan maklumat operasi, komunikasi dengan individu tidak dikenali, penyertaan dalam kumpulan tertutup dan prosedur melaporkan kandungan ekstremis. Larangan menyeluruh tidak digalakkan kerana sukar dikuatkuasakan dan boleh mendorong aktiviti dilakukan secara tersembunyi.

Pendidikan Ketahanan Digital – Modul kesedaran keselamatan ATM perlu memasukkan kajian kes Roblox Malaysia 2026, Roblox Singapura 2023, Roblox-GoreBox 2026 serta penggunaan Minecraft dalam propaganda geopolitik. Anggota perlu memahami bahawa perekrut mungkin bermula sebagai rakan permainan, menawarkan bantuan, hadiah atau status sebelum memperkenalkan naratif ideologi.

Pengesanan Awal Berasaskan Tingkah Laku – Petunjuk risiko hendaklah merangkumi:

a. Sokongan kepada organisasi pengganas.

b. Penghasilan atau penyebaran propaganda.

c. Percubaan merekrut anggota lain.

d. Bai’ah kepada kumpulan ekstremis.

e. Perbincangan mengenai Kumpulan ekstremis atau pengganas.

f. Pengumpulan bahan atau dana.

g. Kebocoran maklumat operasi dan gabungan niat keganasan dengan akses kepada senjata.

Sokongan Psikososial – Anggota yang mengalami tekanan, pengasingan, masalah kewangan atau konflik keluarga perlu diberikan saluran bantuan yang mudah dan sulit. Intervensi awal dapat mengurangkan kebergantungan terhadap komuniti maya yang mungkin mengeksploitasi kelemahan individu.

Kesedaran kepada Keluarga ATM – Program kesedaran perlu diperluas kepada pasangan dan keluarga anggota, khususnya berkaitan Roblox, Minecraft, Discord dan Telegram. Keluarga perlu mengetahui perubahan tingkah laku yang ketara, penggunaan simbol ekstremis, penyertaan dalam kumpulan rahsia atau penghasilan kandungan yang mengagungkan keganasan.

Kerjasama antara Agensi – ATM perlu memperkukuh kerjasama dengan PDRM, MCMC, CyberSecurity Malaysia, agensi perisikan, institusi pendidikan dan penyedia platform. Kes yang direkodkan di Malaysia pada tahun 2026 menunjukkan keperluan penyelarasan antara pihak keselamatan, pengawal selia komunikasi dan penyedia aplikasi bagi mendapatkan maklumat serta menangani akaun berisiko.
 

Kesimpulan

E-gaming bukan punca langsung radikalisme, ekstremisme atau keganasan. Roblox, Minecraft dan permainan lain merupakan platform hiburan dan interaksi sosial yang digunakan secara positif oleh majoriti pemain. Namun, ciri komunikasi, kandungan ciptaan pengguna dan pembentukan komuniti boleh dieksploitasi oleh pihak ekstremis. Kes yang direkodkan di Malaysia pada tahun 2026 merupakan bukti paling jelas bahawa Roblox bersama Discord, Telegram dan WhatsApp boleh menjadi sebahagian daripada rantaian radikalisasi, perekrutan dan perancangan keganasan. Kajian kes Singapura pula menunjukkan bagaimana pemain boleh bergerak daripada pengguna propaganda kepada anggota kumpulan maya, penghasil kandungan dan penyokong keganasan sebenar. Minecraft menunjukkan bagaimana dunia maya boleh digunakan untuk pembinaan simbol, propaganda dan naratif geopolitik, walaupun bukti langsung melibatkan keganasan di Malaysia masih terhad.

Bagi ATM, ancaman ini perlu diberikan perhatian kerana anggota mempunyai kemahiran, akses dan pengetahuan yang boleh meningkatkan kesan sesuatu insiden. Risiko utama merangkumi pembentukan ancaman dalaman, kebocoran keselamatan operasi, manipulasi anggota, penyalahgunaan pengetahuan ketenteraan serta ancaman terhadap aset dan instalasi strategik. Pendekatan terbaik bukan mengharamkan permainan, tetapi membina ketahanan digital, memperkukuh keselamatan operasi, meningkatkan sokongan psikososial dan mengesan perubahan tingkah laku yang benar-benar berkaitan dengan keganasan. Melalui pendekatan yang seimbang, berasaskan bukti dan tidak menghukum keseluruhan komuniti pemain, ATM dapat mengurangkan risiko ekstremisme digital tanpa menafikan manfaat sosial, rekreasi dan latihan yang terdapat dalam teknologi permainan

Terrorism Watch Fourth Quarter 2025

The fourth quarter of Terrorism Watch 2025 explores the most recent events and developments pertaining to terror-related incidents in Southeast Asia and significant incidents worldwide from October to December 2025.

At the global level, countries such as Pakistan, Somalia, Syria, and Nigeria continue to face persistent terrorist threats due to unresolved internal conflicts. At the same time, extremist sentiments and ideologies of hatred are continuously manipulated by supporters and sympathisers of terrorist groups to gain support and expand their influence within society. The prolonged internal conflict in Syria has created opportunities for Daesh to exploit political and security instability to re-establish and strengthen their position. Consequently, Syria, along with Nigeria, has embraced a strategic approach by obtaining military assistance from foreign countries such as the United States. Nonetheless, this action has the potential to be exploited by terrorist groups aiming to construct unfavorable narratives by questioning the involvement of foreign powers and misrepresenting such assistance as a form of colonialism. Such narratives risk fueling the spread of extremist ideologies and encouraging the rise of Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) and lone wolf actors on a global and regional scale.

At the regional level, the threat of terrorism in Southeast Asia remains a serious concern. In Indonesia, the mosque bombings incidents that occurred cannot be definitively associated with any terrorist group. The phenomenon of self-radicalisation, which exists and occurs silently, is fueled by society’s engagement with limitless social media beginning to rise. Meanwhile, in the Philippines, terrorist acts continue to be focused on the Mindanao region, however the threat level seems to be diminishing because of ongoing pressure from security forces.  

In Malaysia, the national threat level remains at a moderate stage, indicating the possibility of an attack but with no specific or confirmed threat identified. Although the risk of physical attacks remains low, the spread of online radicalisation and the dissemination of extremist narratives in public spaces continue to be key areas of concern. Moreover, the publication of newspaper reports regarding the sentencing of a welder involved in financing terrorism around 10 years ago is considered significant in serving as a reminder and lesson to the community, deterring participation in any terrorism-related activities.

INTRODUCTION

Throughout various countries, the fourth quarter of 2025 has been characterised by significant developments, with terrorist and militant groups sustaining their activities in conflict areas to consolidate and strengthen their influence.

The following are the highlights of recent terrorism-related occurrences around the world:

a.  Pakistan.

(1) On 20 Oct 25, five (5) security personnel from Pakistan and eight (8) militants were killed, while 10 others sustained injuries in an ambush on the outskirts of Dera Ismail Khan district, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, Pakistan. The clash took place when a heavily armed militant group attacked the security personnel assigned to protect the main gas pipeline project in the area. No group has claimed responsibility for the attack so far; however, the modus operandi used suggests the involvement of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP).

(2) On 11 Nov 25, Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) executed a suicide bombing that killed at least 12 people and injured 27 others in the Islamabad District Court area, Pakistan. The incident began when a suicide bomber reportedly attempted to access the court premises but detonated himself at the main entrance after being unable to bypass security. The intense blast occurred near a police vehicle, causing significant destruction and casualties at the scene.

(3) These attacks and clashes underscore the persistent threat posed by the TTP terrorist group to government facilities and national security, especially in prominent locations like Pakistan’s capital and specific hotspot regions. This incident signifies a resurgence of TTP activities, which are now regarded as more daring in focusing on significant urban and strategic locations, potentially paving the way for large-scale attacks. This may be occurring because of the persistent tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan, which weaken regional stability, especially regarding South Asian security. Pakistan’s security forces are expected to enhance security cooperation and intelligence-sharing with international partners, particularly neighbouring countries and strategic allies. In addition, Pakistan’s security forces are expected to military and intelligence efforts in the northwestern regions of the country and adjacent to the Pakistan–Afghanistan border to track down terrorist networks and disrupt their logistical support. Furthermore, actions to enhance security measures in major city areas are anticipated to be carried out, particularly at government buildings and judicial premises that are highly vulnerable to potential terrorist attacks. 

b. Somalia.

(1)       On 6 Nov 25, Daesh executed an ambush against members of the Puntland Defence Force (PDF) near the Shankali well in the Baallade Valley, Bari region. The attack resulted in the deaths of 10 PDF members and left 20 others injured, while Daesh captured several weapons belonging to the PDF.

(2)       On 26 Nov 25, Somali security forces conducted a military operation that successfully eliminated a high-ranking leader of the terrorist group Al-Shabaab in the Cumar Beere area of Lower Shabelle, Somalia. The leader, identified as Hassan Sidow Hussein, was a key figure within Al-Shabaab’s operational structure and served as the head of operations for the Middle Shabelle, Hiran and Galgaduud regions. He was recognised as a key planner in organising the group’s activities and was deeply engaged in improvised explosive device (IED) operations.

(3)      The continued Daesh attacks against PDF personnel over the last month have been identified through a series of reported incidents. It indicating that Daesh is likely to persist in carrying out similar isolated attacks to disrupt PDF operations in selected regions for a certain period. Somalia continues to face a significant threat from Al-Shabaab, which remains active in carrying out attacks and terrorist activities across various regions of the country. These latest advancements indicate that the terrorist organisation retains operational abilities that can endanger national security. Nonetheless, the achievement of the military operation by Somali security forces in removing this crucial Al-Shabaab individual is predicted to influence the terrorist organisation tactically, especially regarding operational coordination and IED operations. His absence could diminish the internal cohesion of the terrorist organization in the short term, though Al-Shabaab is likely to try to address the void swiftly. Consequently, Somali security forces are believed to continue intensifying security operations as a proactive measure to protect civilians and disrupt the terrorist network’s support structures and infrastructure in the country.  

c. Syria.

(1)        On 9 Nov 25, Syrian security forces initiated a significant military operation targeting Daesh cells across Syria. 61 raids were executed, leading to the apprehension of 71 suspected terrorists and the confiscation of weapons and explosives. This pre-emptive operation was carried out ahead of Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa’s visit to Washington for a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump, during which Syria’s participation in the U.S.-led international coalition against Daesh was to be discussed.

(2)        This extensive military operation carried out by the Syrian government clearly demonstrates the new leadership’s dedication to reinforcing stability and restoring the national security structure. This pre-emptive action also demonstrates that the Syrian government is striving to assert full control over its territory, while simultaneously rebuilding international confidence in its capability to combat terrorism. Nevertheless, this event highlights that Daesh factions remain active and could pose a risk to the stability of the new administration after the collapse of the Bashar al-Assad regime. The meeting between the Syrian President and the U.S. President, seen as a strategic diplomatic move which anticipated to bolster the political position of the new administration globally and create opportunities for international cooperation in the persistent terrorism challenge within the nation.    

d. Nigeria.

(1)        On 25 Dec 25, U.S. launched an airstrike against terrorists linked to the Daesh group in Sokoto State, Northwestern Nigeria. Further details regarding casualties and damage were not disclosed. U.S. stated that the strike was carried out based on intelligence and with approval from the Nigerian government.

(2)      These recent developments in Nigeria demonstrate the ongoing commitment of Nigerian security forces, alongside international partners, in combating terrorism within the nation. Nigerian security forces are expected to maintain sustained pressure on terrorist groups in the country, ensuring that the influence of these groups is gradually weakened. However, this approach is also expected to have a negative impact, as the involvement of foreign military forces could be misinterpreted as a form of colonialism by those who oppose the government’s authorisation of the attacks. This situation, in turn, creates a chance for terrorist groups to keep promoting ideologies and narratives.

TERRORISM IN SOUTHEAST ASIA

INDONESIA

On 7 Nov 25, approximately 50 individuals sustained injuries in an explosion that took place at a mosque located in Sekolah Menengah Atas Negeri (SMAN) 72 Perumahan Tentera Laut Kelapa Gading, North Jakarta, Indonesia. Indonesian security forces have identified a 17-year-old student as the main suspect in the incident. Explosive materials and replicas weapon bearing inscriptions related to extremist elements were discovered at the location of the incident.

This explosion event is the first instance in Indonesia that involves an educational institution. The country had been largely free from such explosion incidents in recent years—the last being the blast at Astana Anyar Police Station. The explosion, which occurred while worshippers were performing Friday prayers, indicates an intent to cause maximum chaos, although the true motive behind the incident has yet to be determined. Initial signs indicate that the main reason behind this event could be the potential impact of radical ideologies on the individual involved. The finding of replicas weapon with markings associated with extremist groups suggests that the suspect might have encountered extremist ideology via social media or online platforms. This trend corresponds with instances of self-radicalisation, which are becoming more common among youth.

This situation illustrates that extremist and radical narratives have the potential to penetrate student communities via virtual platforms, consequently threatening national and regional security. Indonesia taking this incident seriously and expected to tighten security measures, prevent radicalisation, and implement psychological recovery programs for affected communities, particularly among youth.

THE PHILIPPINES

On 8 Dec 25, a top leader of the Dawlah Islamiyah–Hassan Group (DI-HG), who served as the group’s bomb expert, was neutralized during a security operation conducted in Shariff Aguak, Maguindanao del Sur, Philippines. According to the commander of the 601st Infantry Brigade, the suspect was identified as Ustad Mohammad Usman Solaiman, who served as the “Amir” of DI-HG.

The success of Philippine security forces in eliminating a high-profile figure from the DI-HG group represents a significant development in Mindanao’s security landscape. This operation is not merely a tactical success but also carries broader strategic implications for counter-terrorism operations in the region. Solaiman’s death is regarded as a major blow to the DI-HG structure. He was not only regarded as the “Amir” but also as someone with expertise in explosive manufacturing. His death will directly weaken the group’s ability to plan and carry out high-impact attacks in future. This subsequently diminishes the danger to civilians and essential infrastructure within the country.

In addition, the achievement of this operation stemmed from effective collaboration between the local community and law enforcement. Intelligence and information shared by residents assisted security forces locate Solaiman’s hideout. This effort, in turn, enhances public trust in the security forces’ counter-terrorism initiatives. While this achievement is noteworthy, it does not indicate the absolute end of the DI-HG threat. Philippine security forces must seriously consider the presence of sleeper cells that can adapt following the loss of a leader. Philippines is expected to continue strengthening counter-terrorism strategies and programs to ensure that there is no space for the resurgence of extremism, radicalism, and terrorism within the country and the region.

MALAYSIA

On 16 Dec 25, a contract welder was sentenced to three years in prison by the High Court in Kuala Lumpur. Mohd Zairul Mahmud, 40, was charged with indirectly handling the assets of a Daesh terrorist by allowing deposits of RM10,000 and withdrawals of RM6,000 from his bank account for the benefit of a Daesh terrorist ten years ago. The offense took place at a bank in Bandar Seri Alam, Masai, Johor Bahru, between 25 February 2015 and 8 May 2015. He was charged under Section 130Q(1) of the Penal Code, which provides for a maximum prison sentence of 20 years or a fine. 

CONCLUSION

At the global level, countries such as Pakistan, Somalia, Syria, and Nigeria still encounter terrorist due to ongoing internal unrest. At the same time, extremist sentiments and hate-based ideologies continue to be exploited by supporters and sympathisers of terrorist groups to garner public backing and expand their influence within society. The ongoing internal conflict in Syria continues to create opportunities for Daesh to exploit political and security instability in order to re-strengthen its position. As a result, Syria, along with Nigeria, has been seen to adopt a strategic approach by involving military assistance from foreign countries such as the United States. Nonetheless, this move might enable terrorist groups to exploit the circumstances by manipulating it. This situation raises the potential for a resurgence of Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) and lone-wolf actors at both the global and regional levels.

The terrorism threat level in Malaysia remains at a moderate level, indicating the possibility of an attack, though no specific threat has been identified. Although the risk of physical threats is still assessed as low, the spread of online radicalisation and the dissemination of extremist ideologies in public spaces must remain under diligent surveillance and consistently restrained. In addition, the release of news articles regarding the sentence imposed to a welder linked to financing terrorism nearly a decade ago is perceived as a warning and lesson for society to avoid in any form of terrorism-related activities.

Overall, the threat of terrorism at the global and regional levels is expected to persist and continue to pose concerns for countries worldwide. The widespread use of social media in daily life has become a key enabler of extremist propaganda dissemination, increasing the likelihood of lone-wolf actors and making it more difficult for authorities to detect and prevent threats at an early stage. Therefore, enhanced regional cooperation and intelligence sharing among nations remain crucial to ensure that any form of local threat or movement involving Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) can be identified and addressed in a comprehensive and coordinated manner.

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Terrorism Watch Third Quarter 2025

The third quarter of Terrorism Watch 2025 explores the most recent events and developments pertaining to terror-related incidents in Southeast Asia and significant incidents worldwide from July to September 2025.

Several countries including Pakistan, Somalia, Syria, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Nigeria has continued to face ongoing terrorist threats from domestic instability and extremist movements. Groups such as Al-Shabaab and Daesh-linked factions remained active, launching attacks against civilians, security personnel and places of worship. The spread of online propaganda and hate messages has further driven radicalization, allowing extremist networks to sustain their influence. At the same time, persistent conflicts in Syria and parts of Africa have created conditions conducive to the revival of militant activity and the potential reappearance of Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) and lone-wolf actors on a global scale.

At the regional level, the threat of terrorism in Southeast Asia remains a serious concern. Extremist groups in the region continue to demonstrate active and adaptive operations, with a growing tendency to exploit technological advancements, particularly social media platforms, as key channels for communication, recruitment and the dissemination of radical ideologies that are difficult to detect.  

In Malaysia, the national threat level remains at a moderate stage, indicating the possibility of an attack but with no specific or confirmed threat identified. Nevertheless, concerns persist over potential actions by individuals influenced by extremist ideologies (lone-wolf actors) who may attempt to exploit the ongoing ASEAN Summit 2025 in Malaysia to attract attention or promote certain ideologies. Although the risk of physical attacks remains low, the spread of online radicalisation and the dissemination of extremist narratives in public spaces continue to be key areas of concern.

In summary, the third quarter of 2025 has seen an escalation in terrorist threats at both global and regional levels. The increasing reliance on advanced technology by terrorist organisations highlights the urgency for a unified and strategic response. Regional countries must take proactive and coordinated measures to address this evolving security challenge.

INTRODUCTION

Across several nations, the third quarter of 2025 has been characterised by notable developments, with terrorist and militant groups sustaining their activities in conflict areas to consolidate and strengthen their influence.

The following are the highlights of recent terrorism-related occurrences around the world:

a.  Pakistan.

(1) On 13 Jul 25, the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) launched a drone attack on the Miryan Police Station in Bannu District. This incident marked the fifth attack targeting the same police station within a month. However, the assault did not result in any casualties or structural damage. Security forces subsequently conducted a comprehensive search operation and reinforced security measures throughout the Bannu District.

(2) On 29 Sep 25, a senior leader of the Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) was killed in the city of Mazar-i-Sharif, Afghanistan. The individual, identified as Muhammad Ihsani @ Anwaar, was reportedly a key figure in ISKP’s terrorist operations, including organising training and coordinating the movement of suicide bombers into Pakistan. He also served as a facilitator in the major 2022 attack at Kocha Risaldar, Peshawar, Pakistan, which claimed 67 lives.

(3) The drone attack carried out by TTP highlights the group’s growing threat and enhanced capability to operate using advanced quadcopter technology, raising concerns over Pakistan’s security, particularly the safety of military installations. Although Pakistani security forces were unable to intercept the attack, the tightening of security measures in Bannu is expected to temporarily mitigate the threat. At the same time, Pakistan continues to face cross-border terrorism following the Taliban’s takeover in Afghanistan, with Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan remaining key hotspots. The death of the ISKP leader in Mazar-i-Sharif is anticipated to weaken the group’s operational capacity while providing an opportunity for the Pakistani government to strengthen security operations and intelligence cooperation in addressing the increasingly complex threat landscape. 

b. Somalia.

(1)        15 Jul 2025, the Al-Shabaab terrorist group carried out a suicide car bombing targeting a convoy of Ugandan peacekeepers near the towns of Sabid and Anole in the Lower Shabelle region of Somalia. The deadly attack claimed the lives of 20 Ugandan peacekeepers serving under the African Union Support and Stabilization Mission in Somalia (AUSSOM), while more than 43 others were injured. The incident also resulted in the deaths of nine Somali security personnel and injuries to eight others, with at least three armored vehicles destroyed in the explosion. This marked the second deadly bombing in recent weeks targeting Ugandan forces operating in the area.

(2)        On 5 Aug 25, at least 70 Al-Shabaab militants were killed in a military operation conducted by Somali security forces with support from the African Union Support and Stabilization Mission in Somalia (AUSSOM) in the Lower Shabelle region. During the operation, Al-Shabaab attempted to launch a suicide bombing using two explosive-laden vehicles. However, Somali forces responded swiftly and successfully foiled the attack. The incident resulted in the deaths of two security personnel, while 12 others were injured.

(3)      Terrorist incidents in Somalia have continued to rise despite ongoing government-led operations. Al-Shabaab remains active, maintaining its modus operandi of suicide bombings across volatile regions. The group’s attacks on security forces are believed to be retaliatory, following recent territorial gains by Somali and Ugandan forces with AUSSOM’s support. Nevertheless, the successful military operation that eliminated a large number of Al-Shabaab militants marks a significant achievement for Somali forces in curbing the group’s expanding influence. In response to renewed Al-Shabaab advances in several towns, the Somali government has intensified counter-terrorism operations, particularly in the group’s strongholds. Current efforts are focused on strengthening security control in high-risk areas and restoring government presence in affected locations, a move expected to weaken Al-Shabaab’s operational network and disrupt future large-scale attacks.  

c. Syria.

(1)        On 1 Sep 25, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) successfully arrested Ahmed Mahmoud @ Abu Mansour, a senior Daesh leader, in the city of Raqqa, Syria. He is believed to have been involved in attacks against security forces and in orchestrating a series of bombings targeting civilians, aimed at instilling fear and destabilising the region.

(2)        Since losing its main territories in Syria in 2019, Daesh has shifted to guerrilla tactics and sleeper-cell operations, particularly in rural areas, carrying out a series of small-scale attacks. Amid the ongoing political instability and internal conflict in the newly formed Syrian administration, Daesh has sought to rebuild its networks by reviving its ideological influence. However, the recent arrest of a senior Daesh leader by the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) represents a major setback to the group’s operational capacity. Although Daesh continues to pose a potential threat to Syria’s security and stability, this success demonstrates the effectiveness of the SDF and international coalition in curbing the group’s resurgence in the country.    

d. Congo.

(1)        On 27 Jul 25, more than 40 Christian worshippers were killed in a deadly attack on a church in the town of Komanda, Ituri Province, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). The attack was believed to have been orchestrated by the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF), a terrorist group affiliated with Daesh (Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, ISIL). Daesh later claimed responsibility for the incident through its official Telegram channel. The United Nations Mission in the DRC (MONUSCO) reported that at least 43 people were killed, including 19 women and nine children. The DRC government described the attack as a large-scale massacre carried out in retaliation for recent security operations targeting the ADF.

(2)      Recent developments in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) indicate a worsening terrorism threat, particularly in the eastern regions such as Ituri. This situation stems from the increasing frequency of attacks carried out by the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF), a group affiliated with Daesh. Established in Uganda in the late 1990s, the ADF relocated its operations to the DRC in 2002 and pledged allegiance to Daesh in 2019. Since then, the group has continued to conduct terrorist attacks across eastern Congo. Its deliberate targeting of places of worship and civilians has not only resulted in significant loss of life but also strengthened its foothold in areas with weak security control. This ongoing instability poses a major challenge to recovery and peacebuilding efforts in the region.

e. Nigeria.

(1)        On 23 Aug 25, Nigerian security forces conducted Operation Hadin Kai, resulting in the deaths of nine Boko Haram militants, including two senior leaders, in Borno State. The leaders, identified as Abu Nazir from Juye and Abu Fatima from Koloram, were killed during intense clashes in Wulgo, Borno State. During the operation, security forces also seized several AK-47 rifles, ammunition, and six motorcycles belonging to the militants.

(2)        The recent development in Nigeria reflects the continued commitment of Nigerian security forces, together with international partners, in combating terrorism within the country. This incident serves as an indicator that Nigeria remains under serious threat from Boko Haram. The success of the latest operation also demonstrates the effectiveness of Nigeria’s offensive approach in weakening Boko Haram’s influence in Borno, thereby disrupting the group’s leadership structure. However, the threat posed by Boko Haram remains significant, as the group continues to carry out attacks in various strategic locations. Nigerian forces are expected to maintain sustained pressure to gradually erode the group’s operational and ideological influence. 

TERRORISM IN SOUTHEAST ASIA

INDONESIA

On 5 Aug 25, Indonesia’s Special Detachment 88 (Densus 88) arrested two individuals, one of whom was a civil servant in Banda Aceh. Both were detained on suspicion of involvement in terrorism-related activities. The suspects were identified only by their initials which are M (40), a civil servant with the Aceh Ministry of Religious Affairs, and ZA (47).

On 5 Sep 25, two Facebook users which identified as “Muhammad Arsy” and “Jhon Pelor”, suspected of supporting Daesh and believed to be based in Indonesia, were observed posting anti-government propaganda and incitements to lone-wolf violence. “Muhammad Arsy” had been active since 26 August 2025 and maintained 913 friends, while “Jhon Pelor” had been active since May 2025 with 3,800 friends. Their posts contained threats against Indonesian security forces (including Densus 88), calls to burn Indonesian posters, and exhortations to “attack” cities such as Jakarta, Bandung, Bogor, Bekasi, Solo, Surabaya, and Medan by recommending the use of Molotov cocktails, knives, and firearms.

The current situation in Indonesia demonstrates that online propaganda and lone-wolf incitement spread through social media platforms such as Facebook have become a serious threat to national security and stability. Such propaganda not only promotes anti-government sentiment but also contains violent elements, including calls to attack major cities using weapons such as Molotov cocktails, knives, and firearms. Daesh supporters are increasingly exploiting digital platforms to spread radical ideologies that encourage individuals to commit acts of terrorism independently, without the need for organised groups by making detection and prevention far more difficult for authorities.

THE PHILIPPINES

On 4 Sep 25, eight former members of the Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) surrendered to the military in Barangay Kabengi, Maguindanao del Sur. Three of them were identified as experts in the assembly of improvised explosive devices (IEDs) that could be detonated remotely using mobile phones. Major General Donald Gumiran, Commander of the 6th Infantry Division, stated that the group turned over their weapons and homemade explosives to the 90th Infantry Battalion before signing a symbolic pledge of renunciation against BIFF at the battalion headquarters, witnessed by Brigadier General Edgar Catu, as well as representatives from the local government and the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM).

On 29 Sep 25, a member of the Dawlah Islamiyah – Hassan Group (DI-HG) was killed during a series of security operations conducted by Philippine forces in Maguindanao del Sur. The suspect reportedly opened fire on the security personnel during an arrest operation, injuring one officer in the exchange. The deceased was identified as Moner Usman. Authorities also seized a homemade Uzi submachine gun, several rounds of ammunition, and a quantity of suspected methamphetamine.

The surrender of eight former members of the Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) in Maguindanao del Sur reflects the continued effectiveness of the reconciliation program and local negotiations led by the Philippine military, in collaboration with the BARMM government and Moro community leaders. The inclusion of individuals skilled in bomb-making among those who surrendered indicates a significant weakening of BIFF’s operational network, thereby reducing the threat of bomb attacks in Central Mindanao. The main factors driving these surrenders appear to be assurances of safety, economic assistance, and the positive examples set by former members who have successfully reintegrated into society. This development demonstrates that a comprehensive approach combining military action and socio-economic development can effectively accelerate the resolution of the remaining insurgency in the Philippines.

MALAYSIA

On 26 Jul 25, several individuals believed to be affiliated with a group promoting extremist ideology were detected distributing extremist propaganda to participants during a street rally in Kuala Lumpur. The contents of the leaflets called for the establishment of a caliphate system, a narrative commonly propagated by leaders of extremist groups to garner public support for their cause.

On 26 Aug 25, an individual suspected to be a Malaysian national was identified using the online identity “Melandri Windfred (Abu Furqan al-Kampari Sumatrawi)” [UID: 61574130639558] on social media. The person is believed to be actively involved in disseminating Daesh-related propaganda. Investigations revealed that the individual’s personal Facebook account, created on 20 March 2025, has approximately 3,300 friends. Additionally, the person was found sharing and distributing various forms of Daesh propaganda, including pro-Daesh narratives and videos depicting the group’s activities. Such activities are considered capable of influencing indoctrination processes and potentially garnering public support for militant ideologies.

CONCLUSION

At the global level, countries such as Pakistan, Somalia, Syria, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Nigeria continue to face persistent threats of terrorism due to ongoing internal conflicts. At the same time, extremist sentiments and hate-based ideologies continue to be exploited by supporters and sympathisers of terrorist groups to garner public backing and expand their influence within society. In the African region, Somalia remains under constant threat from Al-Shabaab, which continues to carry out attacks despite numerous security operations, particularly against Ugandan forces serving as peacekeepers in the country. Overall, terrorist activities across the region remain active, as seen in the Congo where Daesh affiliates launched attacks on churches, an act that risks fuelling inter-communal tensions and reflects the growing spread of radical and extremist influence in the area. Meanwhile, the prolonged internal conflict in Syria continues to provide Daesh with opportunities to exploit political and security instability in its effort to reassert its presence. This situation raises the potential for a resurgence of Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) and lone-wolf actors at both the global and regional levels.

The terrorism threat level in Malaysia remains at a moderate level, indicating the possibility of an attack, though no specific threat has been identified. The recent incident involving individuals distributing radical materials during a public gathering in Kuala Lumpur highlights the need for heightened vigilance by the Royal Malaysia Police (PDRM) and the Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) to curb the influence of extremist narratives at an early stage. In this regard, the implementation of the Malaysia Action Plan on Preventing and Countering Violent Extremism (MyPCVE) plays a crucial role in strengthening preventive measures and enhancing community resilience to identify and reject extremist ideologies.

The threat of terrorism at the global and regional levels is expected to persist and continue to pose concerns for countries worldwide. This situation is driven by the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, particularly the Israel-Palestine conflict and internal tensions in several nations, which indirectly create fertile ground for the resurgence of extremist ideologies. Furthermore, the widespread use of social media in daily life has become a key enabler of extremist propaganda dissemination, increasing the likelihood of lone-wolf actors and making it more difficult for authorities to detect and prevent threats at an early stage. Therefore, enhanced regional cooperation and intelligence sharing among nations remain crucial to ensure that any form of local threat or movement involving Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) can be identified and addressed in a comprehensive and coordinated manner.

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Terrorism Watch Second Quarter 2025

The second quarter of Terrorism Watch 2025 explores the most recent events and developments pertaining to terror-related incidents in Southeast Asia and significant incidents worldwide from April to June 2025.

Countries like Afghanistan and Pakistan remain hotspots for terrorism due to prolonged instability and weak governance, which allow extremist groups to operate. In the African region, the persistent threat posed by Al-Shabaab continues to be a major security concern. In South Asia, tensions between India and Pakistan are exploited by militant groups such as Lashkar-e-Taiba, whose cross-border operations not only destabilise the region but also link to global terrorist network. Meanwhile in Syria, the emergence of new leadership could trigger a revival of Daesh by allowing the group to reorganize its network and expand its international reach.

In Southeast Asia, most attack are carried out by self-radicalized individuals rather than large coordinated groups. Many of these terrorists are heavily influenced and recruited through social media platforms, which have become powerful tools for spreading extremist ideology and isolated sympathizers across the region.  

Malaysia remains proactive by implementing early preventive measures to ensure that its citizens do not adopt terrorist ideologies that could endanger national security. Ongoing instability in West Asia and the shift in Daesh’s operational base may influence the movement of Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) and the patterns of terrorist activity.

In summary, the second quarter of 2025 has witnessed a rise in both global and regional terrorist threats. The use of advanced technology by terrorist groups underscores the need for a coordinated response. Regional nations must act decisively to confront this emerging challenge.

INTRODUCTION

Across several nations, the second quarter of 2025 has been marked by significant events. Terrorist and militant continue operations in conflict zones in order to reinforce their presence.

The following are the highlights of recent terrorism-related occurrences around the world:

a.  Afghanistan.

(1) On 10 June 25, an armed clash broke out between the Taliban and Islamic State-Khorasan Province (ISKP) in  District 15 near the Marjan residential complex in northeastern Kabul. This incident is part of a series of intensified operations carried out by the Taliban to eliminate ISKP elements that remain active in the Afghan capital.

(2) To counter this threat, the Taliban is likely to tighten security along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border by increasing patrols and establishing additional checkpoints as a proactive measure to prevent early infiltration, besides weaken ISKP’s operational capabilities.

b. Pakistan.

(1)        On 22 Apr 25, at least 10 suspected Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militants were killed and several others injured during a joint operation conducted by the Punjab Police and the Counter Terrorism Department (CTD) in Makarwal, Mianwali District, Punjab.

(2)        TTP’s growing presence in the Makarwal area, likely as a consequence of sustained military pressure in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa regions. The group appears to be using Makarwal’s location, near the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa border and relatively close to Balochistan, as a strategic base for operations. The Pakistani security forces’ move to target non-hotspot areas could disrupt TTP’s hiding strategy, which relies on poorly monitored locations.

c. Somalia.

(1)        On 16 Apr 25, the Al-Shabaab militants group launched an attack on the strategic town of Adan Yabaal in the Shabelle region. The assault began with an explosion, followed by coordinated attacks from multiple directions. Al-Shabaab, an affiliate of Al-Qaeda, claimed to have captured ten military posts during the operations.

(2)        On 8 June 25, at least three senior Al-Shabaab commanders were eliminated in an airstrike conducted by Somali security forces near the town of El-Bur in central Somalia. Among the dead was Nuur Abdi Rooble, a prominent operative linked to attacks on civilians across Somalia since 2009. Also killed were Caddaw, who managed the group’s intelligence network in the Galgadud region, and lastly is Macallin Cumar, Al-Shabaab’s chief training facilitator. All three figures played an important role in designing and executing attacks in the Hiiraan and Middle Shabelle regions.  

(3)        Al-Shabaab, which remains a primary threat in Somalia, continues to demonstrate its strength and capability to carry out attacks across the country. Although the Somali government maintains that Al-Shabaab’s operational capacity has been significantly reduced, recent developments indicate that the group remains active, particularly in rural areas. The government is expected to focus its efforts on strengthening military presence in these rural regions and enhancing cooperation with regional and international forces to combat this persistent threat.  

d. Syria.

(1)        On 4 May 25, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) carried out an operation to arrest an individual believed to be commander of Daesh militants in the eastern rural areas of Deir ez-Zor. The suspect, identified as Hamoud Abdullah al-Khatib, also known as Abu Zakaria, was capture along with weapons and other items belonging to the senior leader.

 (2)       On 24 June 25, Syrian security forces announce the arrest of all Daesh militants responsible for the bombing of a Greek Orthodox Church in Damascus. Among those detained was a Syrian national, Muhammad al-Jamaili @ Abu Imad al-Jamaili, who is believes to be the leader of a Daesh cell in the country. The arrests followed the attack on 21 June, started when a Daesh suicide bomber opened fire before blowing up his explosive vest targeting Christian worshippers attending morning mass at the church. The blast killed at least 25 people, injured 63 others and caused extensive damage to the church’s infrastructure, including its main worship hall.

(3)        This latest attack reflects the persistent threat posed by the Daesh terrorist group and highlights the continued presence of extremist elements within Syrian population. However, under the current leadership, the government has shown strong commitment to restoring national security through sustained efforts by security forces targeting Daesh’s infrastructure and support networks to destroy terrorist cells and enhance stability in Syria.

e. India.

(1)        On 7 May 25, Indian security forces launched a military operation targeting nine terrorist locations, including the headquarters of Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) and Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM) in Pakistan and Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir (PoK). The strikes covered five locations in PoK which two each in Muzaffarabad and Kotli and one in Bhimber. The remaining four operations were conducted in Pakistan, including two in Sialkot and one each in Muridke and Bahawalpur. Codenamed Operation Sindoor, this mission was carried out as a response to the 22 Apr 25 terrorist attack in Pahalgam, Jammu & Kashmir (J&K), which killed 26 people.

(2)        The current conflict between the two neighboring countries is seen as the most serious diplomatic breakdown in India-Pakistan relations since the 1971 war. India’s suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty and Pakistan’s withdrawal from Simla Agreement signify the collapse of diplomatic frameworks that have long managed bilateral tensions. With both nations possessing nuclear weapons, the risk of miscalculation or unintended escalation has become a major concern for the international community. While Operation Sindoor may have achieved India’s short-term objective of demonstrating resolve uncertain. Internal pressures in Pakistan, including economic challenges and political instability, are likely to influence its response strategy. On the other hand, India’s actions may reinforce domestic political support but risk straining international relations of civilians casualties increase. 

TERRORISM IN SOUTHEAST ASIA

INDONESIA

On 24 May 25, Indonesia’s Special Anti-Terrorism Detachment (Densus 88) forces detained a male teenager in Kabupaten Gowa, South Sulawesi. The suspect, identified only as MAS (18), was accused of disseminating extremist propaganda and inciting acts of terrorism online. He was reported to have distributed various Daesh propaganda materials, including images, videos, audio recordings, and writings that promoted the terrorist group.

On 28 May 25, Densus 88 successfully apprehended a terrorism suspect in Central Java, Indonesia. The suspect, identified as A (32), was accused of spreading radical propaganda related to a terrorist group on social media platforms. Reports indicate that the suspect had previously been involved with the terrorist organization Jemaah Ansharut Daulah (JAD), which is affiliated with Daesh.

The ongoing arrest operations carried out by Indonesian law enforcement are proving increasingly effective. However, digital radicalization and youth involvement present new challenges that require a more comprehensive counter-terrorism strategy.

THE PHILIPPINES

On 1 June 25, Philippine security forces arrested a member of the Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG) involved in various terrorist activities in Basilan and Zamboanga, Philippines. The joint operation, which included both military and police units, successfully detained the suspect, identified as Isnaji Hashim (34), a follower of one of the ASG sub-groups led by Ibni Acosta.

On 24 June 25, Philippine security forces successfully captured a terrorist affiliated with the Dawlah Islamiyah group who was known for his expertise in bomb-making during an encounter in Sultan Kudarat, Maguindanao del Norte. The suspect, identified as Kamsa Budjal @ Ustads Ali, was a member of the Dawlah Islamiyah–Hasssan Group (DI-HG). Several pieces of evidence were recovered at the site of the encounter, including an M653 rifle, an M16A1 rifle, medical supplies, ammunition, bomb-making components, mobile phones, and subversive documents.

These continuous operations also highlight the effectiveness of the government’s Preventing and Countering Violent Extremism (PCVE) program in addressing the threat of terrorism and detach terrorist networks in the Philippines. Philippine security forces are expected to continue conducting security operations to safeguard public peace, ensure community well-being, and protect national interests.

SINGAPORE

On 2 Apr 25, a 15-year-old female student was dealt with under Singapore’s Internal Security Act (ISA). The teenager had been exposed to Daesh propaganda online in June 2023, and subsequently made a virtual “bai’ah” (pledge of allegiance) to a Daesh-affiliated chatbot in July 2023.

On 2 Apr 25, a 17-year-old male teenager was detained for planning attacks on five mosques in Singapore, including Masjid Maarof. He intended to carry out the attacks after Friday prayers to inflict a high number of casualties, with the goal of killing at least 100 Muslims. The teenager was influenced by far-right “East Asian Supremacy” ideology and idolized Brenton Tarrant, the perpetrator of the 2019 Christchurch attack. He also planned to livestream the assault. However, the plot was unsuccessful as he failed to obtain firearms, despite attempts to purchase a pistol from overseas and learning how to modify weapons online.

The rising cases of youth involvement in radicalization in the country shows how easily young individuals can be influenced by online content promoting armed jihad. Most of these youths undergo self-radicalization, where they are not directly recruited but instead become radicalized independently through exposure to extremist material on the internet.

MALAYSIA

On 27 June 25, the Royal Malaysia Police (PDRM) arrested 35 Bangladeshi nationals and one Indonesian woman who were identified as directly involved in activities based on extremist beliefs and terrorist ideology. Intelligence and coordinated operations by PDRM’s Special Branch (E8) revealed that this group was introducing Daesh-inspired extremist ideology into the country.

Malaysia is no longer just a target but has also become a transit location for foreign terrorist groups before they carry out terrorist activities. Furthermore, these operations demonstrate the effectiveness of Malaysian security forces in combating subversive elements. This underscores the importance of cooperation between local agencies (inter-agency coordination) and international partners in addressing issues related to extremism, radicalization, and terrorism.

CONCLUSION

The rise of new leadership in Syria has potential to boost Daesh’s presence in global jihadist landscape. This resurgence not only allows Daesh to reorganize and strengthen its operational networks, but also serves as a source of inspiration for other terrorist groups worldwide. A recent Daesh’s attack on church in Syria, shows their intent to target places of worship. Such incidents set a dangerous precedent and could encourage other extremist groups to replicate similar attacks against religious places. Even without direct attacks, Daesh’s ideology continues to spread and influence extremist groups across other regions, extending their reach and impact far beyond the immediate conflict zones. Furthermore, the spread of extremism, radicalism, and terrorism ideologies across Southeast Asia remains deeply persistent and aggressive, particularly in the Philippines, Indonesia, and Singapore. Daesh’s ideology maintains a significant influence over local militant networks, many of which have demonstrated links or sympathies to Daesh.

In Malaysia, the risk of terrorist acts is currently classified as “possible” with the overall threat level assessed as moderate. Although the security situation remains largely under control, the presence of foreign nationals attempting to utilize Malaysia as a transit point for terrorist operations represents a significant concern that need a proactive measures by authorities. To overcome this, Malaysian government has launched a comprehensive approach through the Preventing and Countering Violent Extremism (PCVE), focusing on prevention, enforcement and rehabilitation. Inter-agency cooperation involving the Royal Malaysia Police (PDRM), the Armed Forces (ATM) and the Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) enhances border control, digital monitoring and rapid responses capabilities against potential threats. In addition, Malaysia works closely with international partners, especially ASEAN countries, to disrupt terrorist networks and prevent the country from being used as a transit point for foreign militants.

The current conflict in the Middle East, especially Israel-Palestine has caused anger and tension among certain groups. This situation creates an opportunity for both local and global terrorist groups to recruit new members and carry out attacks. These groups often use the idea of Muslim oppression to spread hatred and promote their violent agendas.

Terrorism Watch First Quarter 2025

The first quarter of Terrorism Watch 2025 explores the most recent events and developments pertaining to terror-related incidents in Southeast Asia and significant incidents worldwide from January to March 2025.

 

Countries such as Afghanistan, Somalia, and Syria continue to experience terrorism as a result of persistent hostilities. Terrorist organisations frequently exploit the Israel-Palestine conflict to incite solitary assaults. Anti-Semitic feelings are persistently exploited by proponents and sympathisers of terrorist organisations to garner support. The collapse of Bashar Assad’s regime in Syria may precipitate a new surge of global terrorism and potentially facilitate the resurrection of Daesh.

The proliferation of extremism, radicalism, and terrorist ideologies via media in Southeast Asia continues to rise, particularly in Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore. Preventive efforts such as arrests, aimed at deterring attacks, along with PCVE actions implemented by authorities in all nations, are regarded as efficient in managing terrorist activity.

Malaysia remains proactive by implementing early preventive measures to ensure that its citizens do not adopt terrorist ideologies that could endanger national security. Ongoing instability in West Asia and the shift in Daesh’s operational base may influence the movement of foreign terrorist fighters (FTFs) and the patterns of terrorist activity. Furthermore, the growing spread of extremist ideologies in Southern Thailand poses additional risks due to the extensive land border shared between Malaysia and Thailand.

In summary, the first quarter of 2025 has witnessed a rise in both global and regional terrorist threats. As terrorist groups adapt to technological advancements, a comprehensive and coordinated response from all relevant authorities is essential to counteract terrorism. Nations, especially within this region, must implement decisive measures to address the growing challenge.

INTRODUCTION

 

Several significant developments occurred in various countries during the first quarter of 2025. The threat of terrorism has notably escalated at both global and regional levels, with emerging trends particularly evident in Europe and Africa. The risk has grown more pronounced following the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Terrorist groups, especially Daesh, continue to effectively exploit social media platforms to spread their ideology. Agencies such as the Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) and the Royal Malaysian Police (RMP) must conduct regular surveillance of social media and video-sharing platforms like YouTube, as such content can pose a threat to national security and may need to be restricted for Malaysian users when necessary.

The following are the highlights of recent terrorism-related occurrences around the world:

a.  Afghanistan.

(1)  On 11 Feb 25, a series of suicide bombings took place targeting a gathering in front of Kabul Bank in Kunduz. The attack, orchestrated by the Islamic State in Khorasan Province (ISKP) terrorist group, killed at least 18 people, while 14 others were injured. Most of the victims were members of the Taliban security forces.

(2) The surge in ISKP attacks in Afghanistan underscores the country’s persistent instability. Since 2021, the Taliban-led government has been viewed as unable to fully maintain national security. These terrorist incidents not only heighten safety concerns within Afghanistan but also threaten the stability of neighboring countries like Iran and Pakistan, as Afghanistan is increasingly seen as a refuge for extremist groups. Additionally, such attacks appear aimed at discouraging foreign investment and portraying the Afghan government as ineffective in safeguarding the nation. ISKP is anticipated to intensify its assaults, particularly targeting government leaders and Taliban security personnel, in an effort to maintain Daesh’s presence and influence within the country.

b. United States.

(1) On 1 Jan 25, a tragic incident occurred on Bourbon Street in New Orleans, United States, where a four-wheel drive vehicle plowed into a crowd, resulting in 15 civilian deaths and injuring over 30 others. The attacker, Shamsud-Din Jabbar, a 42-year-old U.S. citizen and military veteran who served as an IT specialist in Afghanistan around 2009, was identified at the scene. Initial investigations by the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) have deemed the event a terrorist act, based on the discovery of a Daesh flag, improvised explosive devices (IEDs), and firearms inside the vehicle.

(2) Vehicle-ramming attacks targeting civilians in the United States are not a new phenomenon. However, the recent incident in New Orleans has garnered widespread attention due to its apparent connection to terrorism. Preliminary evidence, including a video recording in which the suspect expressed support for the Daesh terrorist group and declared his intent to carry out an attack, suggests premeditation. This event highlights how lone-wolf tactics are increasingly being adopted by terrorist actors to execute their operations. In response, U.S. authorities are expected to strengthen security measures to prevent similar attacks. Additionally, the incident presents a major challenge for the newly inaugurated U.S. President, who must navigate national security concerns while addressing public sentiment and working to prevent the escalation of Islamophobia within American society. 

c. Pakistan.

(1) On 2 Feb 25, two separate military operations in Pakistan’s Balochistan Province led to the deaths of 18 Pakistani soldiers and 23 Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militants. In the Harnai district, 11 TTP fighters were killed and several of their fortified positions were dismantled. Meanwhile, another 12 militants were eliminated during an attempted roadblock operation in Mangocher, located in the Kalat District.

(2) The Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) launched a deadly assault in Bolan, Balochistan, killing at least 31 people and hijacking a passenger train carrying hundreds. During the incident, 33 BLA members were also killed. The attack began when the Jaffer Express, traveling from Quetta to Peshawar, was taken over by BLA militants as it entered a tunnel in the Sibi area. The group initially released 104 hostages—58 men, 31 women, and 15 children—while the remaining captives were only freed after the Pakistani government met the group’s demands.

(3) Pakistan has experienced a sharp increase in terrorist incidents, especially in the Balochistan region. The country’s security forces have responded promptly to threats, particularly efforts by Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) to launch attacks aimed at creating instability by targeting civilians. In addition, the insurgency by the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) has escalated following the leasing of Gwadar Port to China under the Belt and Road Initiative. The BLA perceives this development as serving the interests of China and the Pakistani government, while offering no tangible benefits to the economically disadvantaged Baloch population. Pakistan’s security forces have remained resolute in their efforts to combat terrorism, reflecting the government’s strong commitment to regional stability. Nevertheless, the continued wave of attacks by militant groups is likely to hinder the progress of security operations in Balochistan. 

d. Somalia.

(1) On 21 Jan 25, seven members of the Somali National Army (SNA) and 15 Daesh Somalia militants were killed in two separate battles in the Puntland region of Somalia. The first clash occurred when an improvised explosive device (IED) planted by Daesh militants detonated as the Somali forces were conducting mine clearance operations. The second clash ensued during a military operation conducted in the vicinity of Laba-Afle.

(2) On 11 Feb 25, a coordinated attacks by Daesh Somalia militants targeted a security base in Puntland, leading to the fatalities of 27 Puntland security personnel and over 70 Daesh militants, with approximately 60 others sustaining injuries. The attack, which occurred in the rugged terrain of Togga Jacel in the Cal Miskaad Mountain range, involved a suicide bombing operation in which both vehicles and motorcycles, packed with explosives, were driven into the base.

(3) The Somali branch of Daesh has concentrated its activities in the Puntland region, taking advantage of Al-Shabaab’s declining dominance there, unlike its firm control in southern Somalia. Although Daesh remains smaller in size compared to Al-Shabaab, which is affiliated with Al-Qaeda, recent developments show a significant rise in its operations. This increase is largely driven by an estimated growth in its ranks to about 600 members, fueled by new recruits from the Middle East as well as Eastern and Northern Africa. The expansion is also believed to be connected to Daesh’s strategic shift of its central leadership from Syria to Somalia. Clashes between Daesh and Puntland security forces have intensified, especially after Puntland escalated counter-terrorism efforts in early February 2025. Despite collaborative efforts with the United States to limit Daesh’s influence, completely eliminating the group remains a long-term challenge due to continued support from foreign terrorist fighters (FTFs). As a result, Puntland is expected to enhance its border security to block external aid that could strengthen Daesh’s presence in the region.

e. Syria.

(1) On 15 Feb 25, a senior Daesh leader from Iraq was captured in Syria on charges of recruiting foreign fighters and orchestrating terrorist attacks. Syrian intelligence confirmed the arrest of the individual, identified by the alias Abu al-Harith Al-Iraqi. The suspect is believed to have held a significant role in Iraq, overseeing the recruitment of foreign militants and being heavily involved in planning terrorist activities. Al-Iraqi is also suspected of masterminding the assassination plot against Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) leader Maysar al-Jubouri and is thought to have led a Daesh cell dismantled on January 11, 2025, which was planning an attack on the Sayyida Zainab Shrine, a key religious site for Shia Muslims near Damascus.

(2) On 9 March 25, the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), with the backing of the US-led Global Coalition, successfully captured a senior Daesh leader during a military operation in al-Busaira, Deir ez-Zor. The operation resulted in the arrest of Khalid Marbab Ubaid, also known as Abu Omar. This Daesh operative was a key figure in supplying weapons and ammunition to Daesh sleeper cells responsible for a series of attacks targeting SDF forces, security personnel, and civilians throughout Syria.

(3) Daesh continues to pose a significant threat in Syria, with an increasing number of attacks reported throughout 2024. Following the collapse of the Assad regime, Daesh has capitalized on the ongoing instability, targeting key SDF strongholds and attempting to free detained members from SDF-controlled prisons. Several Daesh cells are believed to remain active in central and eastern Syria. The interim Syrian government, now led by Ahmed al-Sharaa, a former leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which played a key role in overthrowing the Assad regime, currently controls large portions of Syria, including the capital, Damascus. Despite HTS’s extremist affiliations, it continues to receive support from several countries, including Turkey. The SDF’s decision to transfer authority over its prisons to the interim government is expected to enhance cooperation with HTS and improve control over detained Daesh militants.

TERRORISM IN SOUTHEAST ASIA

INDONESIA

On 5 Feb 25, Indonesia’s Special Anti-Terrorism Detachment (Densus 88) apprehended an individual suspected of terrorist involvement in Kampung Cicubung, Cipacing Village, Pagerageung District, Tasikmalaya Regency. The suspect, identified by the codename TE, aged 52, originally from Bandung. Indonesian security forces also conducted a search of the suspect’s residence and seized several items for further investigation.

On 27 Feb 25, Indonesia’s National Counterterrorism Agency (BNPT) detained 14 Indonesian who had been previously apprehended and deported by Turkish authorities for attempting to enter Syria with the intent to engage in terrorist activities. Upon their repatriation, all individuals were placed in a detention facility in Bogor, West Java, for assessment and profiling. They are also scheduled to undergo a deradicalisation program tailored to their respective regions.

Recent arrests by Indonesian security forces highlight that the country continues to face a persistent terrorism threat. The isolated behavior of the suspects requires close attention, as such detachment can foster self-radicalization, potentially leading to lone-wolf attacks, similar to the tragic event in Ulu Tiram, Johor. The attempts by Indonesians to join foreign terrorist groups in Syria suggest that the idea of establishing an Islamic Caliphate in Syria still appeals to some, despite its collapse in 2019. In response, the National Counterterrorism Agency (BNPT) has implemented a comprehensive deradicalization approach, which includes rehabilitation, vocational training, and social reintegration. BNPT’s efforts target not only those directly involved in terrorism but also individuals at risk of adopting extremist ideologies. This structured approach, carried out through deradicalization centers functioning as “educational institutions,” aims to effectively alter the mindset of those sympathetic to terrorist groups. 

THE PHILIPPINES

On 22 Jan 25, two Philippine soldiers were killed, and 12 others sustained injuries in a well-coordinated ambush orchestrated by the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) in Sumisip, Basilan. The attack, meticulously planned by Commander Alharan with an estimated force of 20 militants, was supported by followers of commanders Mande, Mamir, and Malangka. The assailants targeted a Philippine security convoy as it traveled along a primary route under MILF control.

On 2 Feb 25, a Moro civilian was killed, and a Philippine security intelligence officer was wounded in an armed attack in Radjah Buayan, Maguindanao del Sur. The deceased was identified as Jabber Amil Ambal, a resident of Dapantis village. The incident occurred when Ambal and the intelligence officer were approached by an assailant on a motorcycle, who then opened fire on them.

On 17 March 25, four militants from the Dawlah Islamiyah-Hassan Group (DI-HG) were neutralised during a clash with Philippine security forces in Barangay Barira, Maguindanao del Norte. The deceased were identified as Pudin, Mustapha Kasan Kulaw (also known as Abu Saiden), Abdullah, and one unidentified individual. Pudin, notably, was the son of Emarudin Kasan Kulaw, also known as Alpha King, a deputy leader of the DI-HG faction. In the aftermath of the operation, Philippine forces uncovered two improvised explosive devices (IEDs), a Daesh flag, two M16 rifles, and other materials linked to terrorist activities.

This ambush incident presents a major challenge to the ongoing peace talks between the Philippine government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). While the MILF leadership has shown a willingness to collaborate with the government to finalize the peace agreement, it is clear that a faction within the group remains deeply committed to extremist ideologies and violent tactics. Furthermore, the MILF has emphasized the need for coordination with Philippine security forces whenever operations take place in MILF-controlled territories. This step is vital to avoid misunderstandings or incidents like the Mamasapano tragedy of 2015. A cooperative effort between the government and the MILF would likely yield positive outcomes if both sides take active roles in addressing terrorism within the country.

While an increasing number of terrorist members have either surrendered or been captured by Philippine security forces, a persistent core of active insurgents from various extremist groups continues to remain a threat. The recent attacks targeting the Moro population are likely a reaction to the peace process between the government and the MILF, which has led to significant disadvantages for these groups. Philippine security forces continue to apply pressure on the remaining terrorist factions still operating in the Southern Philippines. Although there has been a rise in the number of members from groups like Dawlah Islamiyah (DI) and the Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) surrendering, certain splinter factions still firmly adhere to extremist ideologies and violent tactics. Philippine security forces are expected to further strengthen and refine their counterterrorism efforts to maintain sustained pressure on these remaining groups, ensuring that the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) elections on October 13, 2025, can be held without violent incidents.

THAILAND

On 21 Feb 25, a facebook user “RedWoolYT” was found to have added Thai-language subtitles to a Daesh-produced video aimed at inciting lone-wolf attacks and glorifying jihad. The individual further propagated Daesh-related content, including jihadist ideologies and pro-war rhetoric, through platforms such as Telegram and other associated web portals.

This action highlights Daesh’s efforts to spread its violent ideology in Southern Thailand. Although youth involvement in the separatist movement in Southern Thailand remains relatively limited, global issues like the Israel-Palestine conflict can unintentionally serve as a trigger, attracting sympathizers to participate in jihad under Daesh’s banner. The inclusion of Thai subtitles by individuals is seen as a strategy to ensure that this violent narrative reaches all segments of society in Southern Thailand. In this context, efforts to monitor and prevent the spread of extremist content, especially on digital platforms, are becoming increasingly vital and should be prioritized. Additionally, proactive measures such as improving public awareness and digital literacy are essential for identifying early signs of radicalization and preventing such attacks. Cooperation between authorities and telecommunication companies is also crucial for effectively detecting and blocking the spread of this harmful content.

SINGAPORE

The Singaporean government deported an Iranian woman and her Malaysian husband, both of whom had Permanent Resident (PR) status in Singapore, over suspected ties to terrorist activities. The couple’s travel agency was allegedly involved in facilitating visa applications for suspected terrorists to enter Singapore. The individuals were identified as Parvane Heidaridehkordi (38, Iran) and Soo Thean Ling (65, Malaysia).

The arrests made by Singapore’s security forces highlight the potential for terrorist activities, whether directly or indirectly, to take place within the country. The involvement of the Iran-Malaysia couple in terrorism-related actions serves as a significant sign, suggesting that Singapore could become a “transit hub” for terrorist organizations operating in Southeast Asia. The couple’s interfaith background also points to the possibility that Singapore faces not only Islamic extremist groups but also other forms of terrorism, such as Hindutva, Neo-Nazi, and Far-right ideologies. Singapore’s security forces are expected to further strengthen their efforts to combat all forms of terrorism within the country. Stringent measures will likely be implemented against individuals or groups suspected of terrorism-related activities, including funding. In addition, enhanced security protocols at the country’s main entry points and borders will be put in place to prevent potential terrorist threats. Cooperation from the public is expected to be crucial in ensuring the continued safety, stability, and peace of Singapore.

MALAYSIA

The national level of terrorist threat is now being effectively managed. The cumulative number of apprehensions in the nation pertaining to persons associated with Daesh terrorist and militant networks from 2013 to the present stands at around 584, comprising 200 non-nationals and 384 domestic residents.

On 14 Feb 25, a propaganda poster related to an attack in the KLCC area was sent by an individual known as DAWLAH ISLAM” in a WhatsApp chat group named “ALBAQOROH – 256.” The chat group was created by an individual believed to be an Indonesian citizen, based on the phone number records and the language spoken by the individual. A total of 428 members from 10 countries have joined the group, including Malaysia, Indonesia, the United States, Canada, Nigeria, Singapore, Timor-Leste, Taiwan, India, and Saudi Arabia. There are 24 members of the chat group using phone numbers registered in Malaysia.

On 22 March 25, the Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP)—an independent think tank based in Sydney, Australia—released the 2025 Global Terrorism Index. According to the report, Malaysia has fallen to 52nd place, a significant drop from 81st position in 2024, largely attributed to the attack on the Ulu Tiram Police Station. GTI is published annually to evaluate the global impact of terrorism across more than 160 countries. It measures factors such as the number of terrorist incidents, fatalities, injuries, and damage to property. Burkina Faso remains at the top of the index, holding the highest position since a military coup in September 2022, which caused terrorist groups to manipulate the country’s instability.

A WhatsApp group has been identified as a platform for communication among Daesh sympathizers from various countries. Members of this group, particularly Malaysians, pose a potential risk of becoming lone-wolf attackers, similar to the Ulu Tiram incident, if not adequately monitored and subjected to appropriate enforcement actions. As a result, increased surveillance by relevant authorities, including the Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC), in collaboration with the Royal Malaysia Police (RMP) and other security agencies, is essential to prevent the spread of extremist and radical content on social media platforms that promote Daesh narratives and ensure they are inaccessible to the Malaysian public. Furthermore, without addressing this issue wisely through Countering Violent Extremism (CVE) awareness programs, self-radicalization and future terrorist attacks are likely to recur.

The current situation has had a moderate impact on Malaysia, particularly in the tourism industry, as many countries use the Global Terrorism Index as a reference for their travel advisories. However, it is crucial to recognize that the index does not fully reflect the actual terrorism threat in Malaysia, especially when considering the evolving trends of terrorist ideologies spreading through social media. Emerging patterns continue to highlight the growth of Jihadist propaganda, particularly from regional actors who aim to garner sympathy by highlighting the struggles of oppressed Muslim communities—especially in Palestine—while simultaneously promoting the idea of establishing a Caliphate through social media campaigns. To improve the situation, political stability and effective law enforcement are essential. These must be strengthened with proactive measures, such as the implementation of the Preventing and Countering Violent Extremism (PCVE) strategy, to effectively combat terrorism within the country.

CONCLUSION

The global threat of terrorism remains deeply alarming, with a notable increase in lone-wolf attacks fueled by hate, particularly in response to Israel’s breaches of ceasefire agreements during the Ramadan period. These incidents have amplified anti-Semitic sentiments, which are being strategically used by supporters and sympathizers of terrorist organizations to gain traction and incite violence, including calls for attacks at major events in Western countries, like the recent incident in New Orleans, United States. Daesh continues to capitalize on the instability in Syria, launching assaults on Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) strongholds and making several attempts to free its members detained in SDF-controlled prisons. Moreover, intelligence reports suggest a shift in Daesh’s operational base to Somalia, with an influx of Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) from the Middle East, Eastern, and Northern Africa, strengthening the group’s presence and activities in the region. This shift indicates a potential change in FTF migration patterns, along with an anticipated rise in terrorist activities across Africa, marking a significant change in the group’s geographic focus and operational tactics.  

Furthermore, the spread of extremism, radicalism, and terrorism ideologies across Southeast Asia remains deeply persistent and aggressive, particularly in the Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore, and Thailand. These group continue to exploit the digital ecosystem, with newer, encrypted social messaging platforms such as Element, SimpleX, and Signal emerging as preferred channels for clandestine communication. In tandem, the rise of digital propaganda tools, including newly established online publications like El Wafa, underscores a renewed effort by extremist actors to reshape recruitment and indoctrination strategies within the region. Despite the implementation of proactive counterterrorism measures and Preventing and Countering Violent Extremism (PCVE) programs by national authorities, violent incidents persist—such as the recent attack in the Philippines, which may be linked to internal sabotage efforts by factions within the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) and other terrorist groups, possibly aimed at disrupting the upcoming BARMM elections. Meanwhile in Indonesia, the ongoing intent of certain individuals to join FTF networks in Syria show that there is still an ideology of establishing an Islamic caliphate in Syria, despite its operational collapse in 2019.  Meanwhile in Thailand, there is growing concern over the gradual infiltration of Daesh-inspired narratives within local communities especially in Southern part. If the Thai government continues to focus exclusively on countering separatist violence, it may overlook the emerging ideological threat posed by transnational jihadist movements. Preventive actions need to be implemented early to ensure that the Daesh narrative does not spread widely and to identify early signs of radicalisation.

Malaysia continues to implement proactive and preventative measures, focusing particularly on early intervention to prevent the radicalization of its citizens and ensure that no one becomes a conduit for violent extremist ideologies that could jeopardize national security. While the ongoing instability in the Middle East and the relocation of Daesh’s operational base could influence the flow of Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) and global terrorism trends, Malaysia’s security agencies remain vigilant and fully prepared to address any potential threats. The growing spread of extremist ideology in Southern Thailand will also have a detrimental impact due to the extensive land border shared by Malaysia and Thailand. In line with Malaysia’s Chairmanship of ASEAN in 2025, the National Security Council (NSC) has activated the Crisis Management Team (CMT) Anti-Terrorism Task Force under NSC Directive No. 18. The Royal Malaysia Police (RMP) and Malaysian Armed Forces (MAF) have been directed to strengthen their preparedness and operational readiness to counter any form of terrorist threat or civil disturbance, particularly during the ASEAN 2025 Summit and other major regional events.

In conclusion, the threat of terrorism, both globally and regionally, is expected to continue and evolve, causing significant concern among nations, particularly due to the ongoing breaches of ceasefire agreements by Israel. Daesh’s strategic shift toward Africa seems to be a calculated effort to secure more sustainable human and financial resources to further its ideological goals. The group’s media operations are also likely to become more sophisticated, utilizing the latest advancements in social media and online propaganda to strengthen their message. As terrorist networks adapt alongside technological advancements, the response must be equally swift and comprehensive, requiring coordinated efforts from all relevant parties. In Malaysia, the integration of intelligence, operational coordination, and inter-agency information sharing has significantly improved the nation’s ability to identify early signs of extremism. However, the increasing complexity of extremist recruitment, especially through online platforms, calls for a whole-of-society approach, involving not only government bodies but also civil society, educational institutions, and NGOs, with a particular focus on protecting youth from radicalization. Efforts by extremists to attract sympathizers in Malaysia persist, with the continued presence of propaganda and posters targeting the country. Although the risk of terrorist acts is classified as “possible” and the current threat level in Malaysia is moderate, terrorist groups still manage to attract sympathizers. As a result, all relevant stakeholders must remain vigilant and proactive in addressing this issue. 

Terrorism Watch Fourth Quarter 2024

The fourth quarter of Terrorism Watch 2024 explores the most recent events and developments pertaining to terror-related incidents in Southeast Asia and significant incidents worldwide from October to December 2024.

Countries such as Afghanistan, Iran, Iraq, Nigeria, Pakistan, Somalia, Syria, and Turkey continue to experience terrorism as a result of persistent hostilities. Terrorist organizations frequently exploit the Israel-Palestine conflict to incite solitary assaults. Anti-Semitic feelings are persistently exploited by proponents and sympathizers of terrorist organizations to garner support. The collapse of Bashar Assad’s regime in Syria may precipitate a new surge of global terrorism and potentially facilitate the resurrection of Daesh.

The proliferation of extremism, radicalism, and terrorist ideologies via media in Southeast Asia continues to rise, particularly in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Singapore. Nonetheless, preventive efforts such as arrests, aimed at deterring attacks, along with PCVE actions implemented by authorities in all three nations, are regarded as efficient in managing terrorist activity.

Some groups of deviant teachings that promote hateful and extreme sentiment, designating non-followers as misguided, infidels, or polytheists, pose a threat of violence. This matter is regarded as having the potential to jeopardize national security and may even have implications for the Muslim community’s takfir. Malaysia’s decision to return Farik Amin and Nazir Lep, who are suspected of being involved in the Bali explosion, from Guantanamo Bay is perceived as an attempt to grant them the rights that were denied to them during their detention.

In summary, the global and regional terrorism threat is expected to increase during the fourth quarter of 2024. The threat perception has evolved to encompass the dissemination of narratives in cyberspace, particularly on social media. Countries, particularly those in this region, must implement drastic measures to address the issue.

Global Trend

The fourth quarter of 2024 is marked by significant events in numerous countries worldwide. In addition to the most recent developments in European, Middle Eastern, and African countries, the threat of terrorism has experienced a substantial increase at both the global and regional levels. The threat of terrorism is on the rise, both locally and globally, particularly in the wake of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Terrorist organizations, particularly Daesh, continue to employ social media as an extremely effective method of disseminating their ideology. The Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) and the Royal Malaysian Police (RMP) are responsible for conducting routine monitoring of social media content and video applications, including YouTube, that have the potential to jeopardize national security. If necessary, these applications can be blocked from being accessed by Malaysians.

The following are the highlights of recent terrorism-related occurrences around the world:

Afghanistan

On 20 Oct 24, the Afghan Taliban apprehended seven suspected militants from the Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) network in the Baharak district of Afghanistan. All of the ISKP terrorist suspects were apprehended on suspicion of collaborating with the Daesh terrorist organization, which is based in Syria and Iraq, with the intention of establishing terrorism in Afghanistan. Additionally, the United Nations (UN) Security Council reported that Daesh has aspirations to establish a caliphate in Afghanistan following its defeat in Syria and Iraq.

On 4 Dec 24, in Kunar province, Afghanistan, a conflict resulted in the deaths of Rahimullah @ Shaheed Umar Bajauri, a senior leader of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), and three other leaders. Shaheed Umar was the military strategist for the TTP and was instrumental in the coordination of attacks on Pakistani forces, notably in border regions. Commander Tariq Bajauri, Commander Adnan Bajauri, and Commander Khaksar were the three terrorists who were also slain.

On 11 Dec 24, at least four individuals, including Khalil Ur-Rahman Haqqani, the Afghan Taliban’s Minister of Refugees, were killed in a suicide explosion at the ministry’s headquarters in Kabul. The ISKP terrorist group was suspected of perpetrating the attack. The assailants initiated the incident by disguising themselves as visitors and feigning physical disability. They then proceeded to target Khalil Ur-Rahman with explosives as he exited his office to pray.

Despite the fact that Afghanistan has not yet established a comprehensive international diplomatic partnership, it is entirely committed to the fight against Daesh, particularly ISKP, which is a threat to Afghan security and adheres to a distinct ideology. Daesh appears to be attempting to reestablish its objectives in Afghanistan following the collapse of the caliphate in Syria and Iraq. This is likely due to the fact that Afghanistan is located in the Khorasan region, which is the location from which the black banners originated. Additionally, the ISKP terrorist organization frequently targets government officials and Afghan security personnel in its attacks on the current Afghan leaders. The Taliban was unquestionably dealt a substantial blow by this suicide attack that targeted the Afghan Minister of Refugees. This is also perceived as creating an opportunity for a division within the Afghan Taliban coalition as a result of a variety of factors related to the country’s security and political concerns. ISKP is also observed attacking terrorist groups that are not affiliated with it, such as the TTP, which is likely a rival on the Afghanistan-Pakistan border. Additionally, the majority of TTP members are former Daesh members who departed due to their belief that the Daesh struggle was no longer pertinent. In order to restore the confidence of the Afghan people and other nations in the current Taliban administration, the Afghan Taliban must implement preemptive measures against ISKP. With the ongoing operations against the ISKP terrorist group within the country, Afghanistan is anticipated to improve security measures.

Pakistan

On 10 Dec 24, in the Sambaza region of Zhob district, Balochistan, Pakistani forces conducted an operation that resulted in the deaths of one soldier and 15 TTP terrorists. Sepoy Arifur Rehman, a Pakistani trooper, was killed in the ferocious combat. Additionally, a substantial quantity of explosives, ammunition, and weaponry that belonged to the deceased TTP militants were confiscated during the operation.

On 21 Dec 24, a terrorist ambush occurred at the Lita Sar checkpoint in Makeen, South Waziristan district, resulting in the deaths of 16 Pakistani security personnel. The TTP terrorist organization, which also killed eight terrorists, orchestrated the attack on Pakistani security personnel.

The incidence of TTP terrorist attacks is on the rise, particularly in the border regions between Pakistan and Afghanistan, which encompass the districts of Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. The Pakistani security forces are compelled to conduct numerous security operations in this region, as it is perceived as a secure haven for the TTP terrorist group. The modus operandi of TTP terrorists targeting Pakistani security forces is not novel, and these attacks are more likely to be retaliation attacks as a result of several successful operations by Pakistani security forces against this terrorist group. It is anticipated that the Pakistani government will maintain its preemptive operations against the TTP terrorist group and forge a partnership with the local community to secure their complete backing in the fight against terrorism. This measure is perceived as facilitating the periodic acquisition of information regarding the terrorist group’s activities and strategies. It is anticipated that Pakistan will continue to apply pressure on Afghanistan to prevent the TTP from utilizing Afghan territory to execute planned attacks on Pakistani territory.

Somalia

On 3 Nov 24, the Somali National Army (SNA) conducted a military operation resulting in the deaths of 27 Al-Shabaab militants in the Yaaqle district of the Middle Shabelle region, Somalia. The SNA bombed a site where Al-Shabaab fighters congregated, destroying several cars and terrorist installations. This operation is one of a series of assaults executed by the SNA in the Middle Shabelle, Galgadud, and Mudug districts, culminating in the deaths of 254 Al-Shabaab members during October 2024.

On 16 Dec 24, Somali security forces conducted a military operation that effectively eliminated 30 members of the Al-Shabaab terrorist organization in Middle Shabelle. Among the deceased were the top leaders of the group, including Abu Busri@Zakariye, Hassan Hussein@Abu Hamama, Hassan Nasrallah@Abu Baras, and Abdurahman@Moalin Aden.

Al-Shabaab is an Al-Qaeda-affiliated group that aims to topple the Somali government and establish an autonomous government based on a strict interpretation of Islamic Sharia law. Al-Shabaab has carried out a number of terrorist acts in Somalia, targeting the military, the government, and civilians. In reaction to the increased number of terrorist assaults by Al-Shabaab, Somali security forces are launching military operations in crucial regions that house the terrorist group’s logistics and operational functions. This operation is considered as having the potential to exert pressure on the terrorist group. Nonetheless, the terrorist group continues to operate in Somalia, particularly in Central and Southern Somalia, due to geographical characteristics in the African country that benefit Al-Shabaab.

Syria

On 8 Dec 24, Damascus, the Syrian capital, was seized from the regime’s authority, marking the end of the Baath party’s 61-year reign in Syria. In 1963, the Arab Socialist Baath Party seized power in Syria through a rebellion. The regime’s intervention has led to the loss of thousands of lives and the instigation of a civil conflict. The armed faction Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) entered Damascus, signifying the peak of the conflict’s evolution in Syria, resulting in the downfall of the Bashar Al-Assad regime. Additionally, HTS was able to establish control over a number of regions, including Hama, Idlib, and Aleppo.

The Assad regime’s failure to resolve the conflict through diplomacy, despite international and regional pressure, is considered a contributing factor to its downfall. It is also probable that the removal of Bashar Al-Assad will create an opportunity for millions of refugees who have been dispersed in shelters throughout Turkey, Lebanon, and Jordan for over a decade to return to their homeland. The capacity of HTS to reconstruct Syria and oversee a post-Bashar Al-Assad government is uncertain as a result of several critical factors that present obstacles to its administration. HTS will encounter significant obstacles in the formation of a government in Syria following the Bashar Al-Assad regime, including the strictures of its ideology, which adheres to a radical form of Islam. The second challenge is the administrative governance of HTS in regions like Idlib, which has received substantial criticism. Many contend that the HTS administrative system is inherently oppressive. Furthermore, Syria’s history is replete with a multitude of terrorist organizations, including HTS, that have been embroiled in conflict. This could potentially impede their capacity to sustain administration in the long term and impede reconstruction efforts. Despite their success in gaining control over Syrian territories, these challenges raise substantial concerns about HTS’s ability to reconstruct Syria by establishing a stable governance framework. HTS is unlikely to effectively lead the country after Bashar Al-Assad in the absence of robust international support and a comprehensive reconciliation within Syrian society. It is anticipated that this will serve to extend the country’s instability. The potential for the Syrian conflict to revert to the situation that occurred in 2014 during the rise of Daesh in Syria is present.

Turkiye

On 23 Oct 24, a terrorist attack on the headquarters of the state-owned Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI) near the city of Ankara resulted in the deaths of at least five individuals and the injury of 22 others. Two assailants, who are suspected to be members of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) terrorist organization, were slain by Turkish security forces subsequent to the attack.

On 29 Oct 24, in Istanbul, 31 individuals were apprehended by Turkish security forces on suspicion of financing activities for the Daesh terrorist group. The Mediterranean Association for the Propagation of Beneficial Sciences and Islam (AHIDDER) was the non-governmental organization (NGO) responsible for conducting the activity. Mustafa Yakupoglu, who was accountable for recruiting supporters and raising funds for terrorist activities, was one of the primary suspects apprehended.

On 3 Dec 24, The successful apprehension of 77 Daesh suspects was the result of the simultaneous operations conducted by Turkish security forces in 32 provinces of Turkey. Following the issuance of 114 arrest warrants by Turkish security forces for their involvement in financing the Daesh terrorist organization, the operations were conducted in numerous significant cities, including Istanbul, Konya, Ankara, and Izmir. The ongoing endeavors are directed toward the apprehending and locating of the remaining 29 sought suspects, while eight others are suspected to be abroad. Furthermore, Turkish authorities confiscated a substantial quantity of digital materials and publications that were associated with Daesh’s propaganda.

TAI is acknowledged for its critical role in supporting Turkey’s extensive operations against the PKK. In the Claw-Lock Operation, Turkey has employed military technology and drones developed by TAI to specifically target PKK strongholds in northern Iraq and Syria. These attacks unequivocally demonstrate that the PKK has designated TAI as a strategic target, with the objective of undermining the Turkish government’s authority and the preparedness of Turkey’s security forces to combat PKK terrorist activities in the region. This assault may be perceived as a provocation or an early warning that the PKK terrorist group’s presence is still substantial and that they continue to pose a threat to the Turkish government’s security. The Turkish security forces will respond quickly to such acts of terrorism by intensifying bombardment across the Turkey-Iraq-Syria border. This action is intended to demonstrate Ankara’s determination and dedication to the eradication of the PKK terrorist group. It is anticipated that Turkish security forces will continue to refine their operations along the Syria-Iraq border to prevent militants, such as the PKK, from receiving support from their strongholds, particularly in northern Iraq. Operation Claw-Lock, which was launched in April 2022, and Operation Euphrates Shield, which was initiated in August 2016, are considered to be effective in their objective of dismantling the PKK terrorist group’s network in Turkey.

The Gurz-24 operation was conducted in 45 cities, including Istanbul, Ankara, Antalya, Eskisehir, and Sanliurfa, to identify the network of terrorist cells in Turkey. Subsequent to the disintegration of Daesh in Syria and Iraq in 2019, some adherents relocated to various nations, including Turkey, to form terrorist networks and sustain Daesh’s significance. In reaction to the increasing threat of terrorism, Turkish authorities have instituted multiple steps to thwart the planning and execution of Daesh attacks. The National Intelligence Organization of Turkey (MIT) has been instrumental in disrupting the attempts of terrorist organizations to recruit, finance, and secure logistical assistance from the public for executing terrorist operations. This recent apprehension demonstrates the efficacy of continuous efforts to identify individuals responsible for funding the Daesh terrorist organization. This operation is set to undermine Daesh’s planning while also issuing a strong warning to its sympathizers that Turkey’s security services are firmly dedicated to protecting national security. Turkish security forces are expected to escalate their initiatives to uncover and dismantle Daesh networks, so effectively restricting their finance operations and eliminating the terrorist group’s strategic goals within Turkey.

Terrorism Trends in Southeast Asia

Indonesia

On 4 Nov 24, Special Detachment 88 Anti-Terrorism Team (Densus 88) apprehended three individuals suspected of terrorism in Demak Regency, Kudus, and Solo City, Central Java, Indonesia. Indonesian security officers conducted searches of the suspects’ dwellings and discovered a substantial amount of evidence, including books, leaflets, flags, and symbols linked to terrorist organizations.

On 24 Nov 24, A suspected terrorist was apprehended by Densus 88 in the Mukomuko district of Bengkulu, Indonesia. The 42-year-old suspect is thought to be linked to the Daesh terrorist organization. Densus 88 conducted a search of the suspect’s residence and successfully seized different items as evidence.

On 29 Dec 24, Densus 88 conducted an operation to investigate the residence of a terrorist suspect in Sukamaju Village, Nyalindung Subdistrict, Sukabumi Regency. This operation succeeded the prior apprehension of six terrorist suspects in three locations of West Java: Majalengka, Garut, and Tasikmalaya, on December 27, 2024. Authorities discovered 32 items of evidence during the search, including a shotgun, three air guns, and numerous literature suspected of containing themes of violence and radicalism.

On 21 Dec 24, the National Counterterrorism Agency of Indonesia (BNPT) and Densus 88 conducted a statement for the disbandment of Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) in Solo, Central Java. This gathering was the 45th and concluding forum in a nationwide series of socialization initiatives. Former JI members also pledged allegiance to Indonesia to strengthen the fundamental foundations of the nation, including Pancasila, democracy, and human rights.

Indonesia’s security forces have persistently undertaken pre-emptive measures to mitigate potential terrorist threats. The arrests are regarded as a preemptive strategy to avert attacks, particularly during critical times like the Christmas and New Year festivities. The arrests underscore that the disbandment of Jemaah Islamiyah (JI) has not eradicated the threat of terrorism, and indeed, it increases apprehensions regarding the potential creation of new terrorist factions that may present considerable security challenges in Southeast Asia, especially in Indonesia. The implementation of anti-terrorism legislation and regulations in Indonesia has significantly weakened the terrorist organizations active within the nation. Nonetheless, attempts to rejuvenate these factions through the dissemination of information and ideology, including those linked to Daesh, persist through local terrorist networks. The new arrests are anticipated to yield vital clues for Densus 88 in identifying further terrorist suspects and preventing any intended attacks by these individuals. Furthermore, Indonesia’s security forces are expected to adopt further preventive strategies to avoid the emergence of new terrorist organizations following the disbandment of Jemaah Islamiyah (JI).

The Philippines

On 21 Oct 24, Philippine security force apprehended the principal suspect responsible for the lethal bombing at a religious function on December 3, 2023, in Marawi City, Lanao del Sur Province. The individual, recognized as Arsani D. Membisa, alias Lopitos, is affiliated with the Dawlah Islamiyah (DI) terrorist organization. He was arrested at Barangay Maria Cristina, Iligan City. Lopitos is regarded as one of the most sought-after individuals due to his participation in terrorist actions, especially in the southern Philippines.

On 23 Oct 24, five members of the Dawlah Islamiyah (DI) terrorist organization were eliminated during an operation conducted by Philippine security forces in Bangco village, Sultan Naga Dimaporo, Lanao del Norte. Authorities confiscated four M16 rifles, three M1 rifles, two handguns, and grenades during the raid on the suspects’ residence. The operation, intended to apprehend DI leader Uya Duma@Lagbas, also led to the detention of two other terrorist suspects, including the homeowner, named as Bucari.

On 17 Dec 24, 15 Members of the Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) voluntarily capitulated to Philippine security forces in Sultan Kudarat, Maguindanao del Norte. In conjunction with their capitulation, the insurgents surrendered many rifles and improvised munitions to the authorities. The ceremony featured support for the surrendered individuals, provided by members from the Ministry of Social Services and Development in the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao.

The aggressive measures implemented by Philippine security forces communicate a definitive message regarding the government’s dedication to countering terrorism, especially in the southern areas of the Philippines, via continuous Focused Military Operations (FMO). Concurrently, the increasing trend of surrenders by terrorist organizations, particularly the BIFF, signifies the efficacy of these initiatives. This change is probably driven by the demise of key BIFF leaders, together with the increased efficacy of the FMO techniques implemented by Philippine authorities to dismantle these terrorist organizations. The Philippines is enhancing its Preventing and Countering Violent Extremism (PCVE) initiatives, notably the Enhanced Comprehensive Local Integration Program (E-CLIP), which serves as a significant metric for the rising number of terrorist organization members surrendering to Philippine security authorities. The Philippines’ provision of financial and logistical support to surrendering individuals is perceived as motivating more BIFF members to abandon the terrorist group and reintegrate into the nation’s administrative framework. Philippine security forces are anticipated to continue their operations, exerting pressure on terrorist groups to capitulate, with the ultimate objective of dismantling these organizations, particularly in the southern Philippines.

Singapore

On 18 Oct 24, Singaporean security force successfully detained a 17-year-old individual suspected of attempting to execute a terrorist attack in Singapore. The suspect planned to employ a bladed weapon to execute a terrorist attack targeting non-Muslims in the Tampines region. Initial inquiries indicated that the suspect was an adherent of the Daesh terrorist organization and had intended to journey to Syria for jihad. He had also reached out to various international pals online for guidance over his planned journey.

This arrest highlights the persistent issue of internet radicalization, which remains a crucial method for recruiting new members, despite the diminishing impact of Daesh, especially in Southeast Asia. The suspect had been brainwashed with the doctrine of armed conflict in Syria, intending to join the jihad to build an Islamic state. The proliferation of extremist ideology and narratives online necessitates immediate attention and rigorous monitoring, as radicalization is perceived to occur more readily among young people due to their cognitive development stage. Singapore’s security forces are anticipated to enhance their security protocols and maintain vigilance in countering the rising threat of terrorism, particularly the tendency of lone wolf attacks.

Malaysia

Currently, the terrorist menace at the national level is being effectively managed. Approximately 620 individuals who are linked to Daesh terrorist and militant networks have been apprehended by the nation from 2013 to the present. This figure comprises 389 domestic residents and 231 non-nationals.

On 28 Nov 24, The Royal Malaysia Police (RMP) and the Malacca Islamic Religious Department (JAIM) conducted a joint operation that resulted in the arrest of eight individuals who are suspected of adhering to the Millah Abraham (MA) deviant teachings. Additionally, authorities conducted investigations of the suspects’ residences and confiscated numerous items, including books that were associated with the Millah Abraham teachings.

On 18 Dec 24, the two Malaysian nationals who had been detained at Guantanamo Bay for the previous 18 years have been safely returned to Malaysia. Mohamad Farik Amin (48) and Mohammed Nazir Lep (47) were apprehended for their involvement in the catastrophic 2002 Bali bombing incident in Indonesia. In January 2024, the suspects at Guantanamo Bay struck a plea agreement with prosecutors regarding the accusation of aiding the bombing incident and received a five-year prison sentence as part of the agreement.

Millah Abraham’s ideology integrates Judaism, Christianity, and Islam, interpreting the Qur’an’s message according to their comprehension rather than relying on tafsir books. Millah Abraham has been declared a heretical teaching in Malaysia due to its divergence from and contradiction of Islamic teachings. The authorities’ operation exposed the online dissemination of the MA teachings through a variety of social media platforms. This MA teaching also employs social media to recruit new members, including family members and acquaintances of the detained suspects. In order to prevent the propagation of such deviant ideologies within society and to prevent any potential undesirable incidents, preventive measures must be enhanced. In order to prevent the widespread dissemination of these deviant ideologies, particularly among the youth in the country, it is imperative that state religious authorities and various government agencies, including the Royal Malaysia Police (RMP) and Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC), collaborate and coordinate their efforts. The existing laws in Malaysia should be strictly enforced in order to take firm action against adherents of Millah Abraham or any other deviant teachings.

In addition to lifelong supervision by the authorities, Farik Amin and Nazir Lep will participate in a deradicalization program administered by the Malaysian Government. Furthermore, the government has implemented a comprehensive reintegration strategy for both individuals and groups, which includes moral support, health, and welfare. Their repatriation from Guantanamo Bay is also a component of a more comprehensive initiative to decrease the number of detainees there, which is consistent with the United States’ goal of closing the detention facility. It is anticipated that these two individuals will undergo a comprehensive rehabilitation process prior to being reintegrated with their families. Simultaneously, local authorities will continue to uphold their obligation to prevent the emergence of any new terrorist threats in the country and to restrict the widespread dissemination of terrorist ideologies.

Conclusion

Particularly with unrest in many of West Asia, the threat of global terrorism keeps showing rise. Terrorist organizations still control the war of Israeli strikes on Palestine to support lone wolf attacks under their “Kill Them Wherever You Find Them.” Supporters and sympathizers of terrorist organizations are observed to be playing out anti-Semitic attitudes in order to win acceptance. The fall of Assad’s government in Syria marks a fresh chapter in the threat of world terrorism, which is probably going to affect the emergence of the Daesh terrorist organization. Aiming to resurrect the caliphate following the defeat of Daesh in Syria and Iraq, the Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) is aggressively seeking to undermine security of Afghanistan. While ISKP has also attacked terrorist organizations that are not in line with the Taliban leadership, such the TTP, which might become a rival along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border, there have been ongoing assaults on the leaders of the Taliban. The attack of important sites like TAI by the PKK on Turkey emphasizes, however, the ongoing presence and capacity of the group to pose a serious hazard to national security of Turkey. The strategic goal of the PKK terrorists is TAI, which is to undermine Turkish government control and Turkey’s security forces’ readiness to stop terrorist activity in the area.

Subsequently, the dissemination of extremism, radicalism, and terrorism ideology through media in Southeast Asia is continuing to exhibit an upward trajectory, with Indonesia, the Philippines, and Singapore being particularly affected. However, proactive measures, such as the implementation of PCVE (Preventing and Countering Violent Extremism) programs by the authorities in these nations and aggressive arrests as part of preventive strategies, have been effective in reducing violent activities. The Philippines has effectively implemented soft approach measures through PCVE programs, such as E-CLIP, to encourage terrorist members to surrender. In the interim, Indonesian authorities have arranged 45 programs that emphasize socialization and surrender in conjunction with senior leaders of the JI terrorist group since its dissolution on June 30, 2024. These initiatives have effectively motivated thousands of JI members to surrender their weapons. Nevertheless, the profoundly ingrained terrorist ideology within JI continues to be difficult to eradicate, which raises the possibility that certain individuals who disagree may resort to violent acts, either independently or by cooperating with other terrorist organizations. Daesh remains reliant on social media platforms, chat groups, and online gaming in Singapore to establish connections with sympathizers. In 2024, numerous arrests were made in Singapore involving adolescents who were attempting to carry out terrorist attacks.

The decision by Malaysia to repatriate Farik Amin and Nazir Lep, who are suspected of being responsible for the Bali bombing, is perceived as an effort to protect their rights, which were disregarded during their time in Guantanamo Bay. It is anticipated that the implementation of a comprehensive reintegration program, which encompasses welfare, healthcare, and moral support, will result in favorable outcomes for both the government and the individuals involved. Nevertheless, recidivism continues to pose a substantial threat in Malaysia, illustrating the difficulty of eliminating the radical ideology of terrorism. Although statistics from the Royal Malaysia Police (RMP) indicate that less than 5% of radical detainees revert to extremist beliefs, these individuals retain the capacity to influence their families and close associates, thereby escalating the likelihood of attacks in Malaysia. The threat of terrorism is also evident in numerous deviant religious groups that propagate sentiments of extremism and animosity, referring to individuals who do not share the same beliefs as deviants, infidels, and taghut. This presents a significant threat to national security, as it contributes to the takfiri phenomenon and extreme intolerance occurring within the Muslim community.

In conclusion, the current situation in Syria is mitigated by the sentiments that persist regarding Israel’s assaults on Palestine and Lebanon, which continue to raise concerns about the threat of terrorism at the global and regional levels. These developments are instrumental in the recruitment of sympathizers, who may subsequently become self-radicalized and commit lone wolf attacks. Daesh’s media initiatives continue to be combative, as they employ new social messaging platforms like Signal, Simple X, and Element to disseminate propaganda through mass media. Additionally, the emergence of new online publications such as El Wafa serves to amplify extremist narratives. The involvement of sympathizers is perceived as being closely associated with the confusion surrounding the concept of struggle that terrorist groups manipulate and the venomous sentiments that are expressed on social media. The complexities of emerging security challenges and the diverse techniques, tactics, and procedures (TTP) adopted by various terrorist groups depending on the circumstance necessitate a proactive and determined response from authorities in response to the evolution of the global terrorism landscape.  It is crucial to improve the collaboration and coordinated efforts of the authorities of various government agencies in Malaysia, such as the RMP, JAKIM, ROS, and MCMC, in order to prevent the dissemination of violent and extremist ideologies, particularly among the youth. Despite the fact that the risk of terrorist acts is classified as “possible” and the threat of terrorism in Malaysia is currently moderate, the threat from terrorist groups continues to attract sympathizers. Consequently, all relevant stakeholders must not disregard this issue.